That rainfall map is grumpy approved! A tropical system is the only way I can get good rain this time of year.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Hurricane Isaias
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Downeastnc
Member
About to close off the eye, so shear or not this thing has put in work today and continued to become better organized.......the deeper and stronger it gets the further east in track guidance it will go.....I would caution the central and eastern NC peeps to keep thinking along the lines of this staying far enough off Florida to make a run at NC as a Cat 1/2 cane.....
Looking at modeling the models that get the current pressure closest stay east and are bigger threats to NC, something like the 12Z HMON for example.....recon is about to sample the center and I suspect they find pressure down a bit and dropping....
Looking at modeling the models that get the current pressure closest stay east and are bigger threats to NC, something like the 12Z HMON for example.....recon is about to sample the center and I suspect they find pressure down a bit and dropping....
southernskimmer
Member
- Joined
- Dec 14, 2016
- Messages
- 60
- Reaction score
- 123
A couple of months ago I was relocated to Palm Beach county for work. It has all of the sudden turned into somewhat of a madhouse down here. I live on the water and will have some good ground observations tomorrow.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Any thoughts about the dry air that some storm2k guys were talking about (one being a met)?
snowlover91
Member
Recon just found 985mb extrap pressure.
Downeastnc
Member
pressure down to at least the 985mb range.....
snowlover91
Member
Dry air can hurt a tropical system but I’ve also seen circumstances where the storm develops a solid core and walls itself off from the dry air as well. The biggest issue with dry air is if strong shear is injecting it into the core of the storm imo.
BHS1975
Member
The G-IV recon also found a stronger ridge than modeled.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Stormsfury
Member
That is not surprising given Isaias has compacted down in size (inner core)...and it's resiliency...
snowlover91
Member
Wow radar is rapidly improving by the minute.
Downeastnc
Member
Nice vis loop as the sun sets, you can see the fresh hot towers go up around the center possibly setting up a period of decent strengthening....
snowlover91
Member
Downeastnc
Member
Yep amazing how these things do what they do, I think the key takeaway is 85+ degree water in the Bahamas trumps everything when it comes to canes lol.....everything that has entered this area the last few years has gone boom.....
Link?
snowlover91
Member
Bryce Shelton
Member
Thank you
Thought someone who isn’t familiar with canes might like to see this.
Time will tell
I'm not gonna lie I'm liking the upslope feature with the escarpment here. We badly need the rain I know it's long range NAM but I think a further west track benefits everyone.