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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

Based on radar, thinking N. Myrtle Beach / Little River area for landfall, hard to see a scenario without a sharp wobble this makes landfall in NC. Somewhere between 10-11pm.
 
The clouds looked wicked here around 5:45, swirling around very low. Then the bottom dropped out and it poured rain.
 
Tornado threat should start ramping up as these supercells embedded in this rain band move on shore through the evening, probably gonna see some tor warnings soon, and that ugly reflectivity From those trees is one hell of a eye sore 245AB8F8-6608-4CCC-8621-AE01433B968D.png692E0E56-864D-4DCE-B412-9E399B7F7A5C.png
 
Based on radar, thinking N. Myrtle Beach / Little River area for landfall, hard to see a scenario without a sharp wobble this makes landfall in NC. Somewhere between 10-11pm.

The campground my family stays at when we go to N Myrtle has a good webcam. Not sure how much you can see at night, though. The cam is at the bottom of the page at their website.

 
As of 6:20 the buoy has winds down to 16kts and a pressure of 989mb. I would say Isaias is probably right around 988mb or so right now.

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Nah that was frontal related not tropical !

The front is evident from Augusta to Spartanburg, even DC is tropical at this point. AI weather stations or not, whoever gets under these converging is in for major haptic feedback, Fayetteville to Richmond looks like the money shot.
 
Brad P catching a lot of hate on FB for calling the storm pathetic. Emergency managers that evacuated down East are trying to get in touch with his network to take that post down.
Brad P was spot on. This storm was very PATHETIC in Charleston.
 
This drop in the SW eyewall should be enough right....

Time: 23:13:00Z
Coordinates: 32.550N 79.383W
Acft. Static Air Press: 696.7 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 3,069 m (10,069 ft)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 991.2 mb (29.27 inHg)
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 321° at 37 kts (From the NW at 42.6 mph)
Air Temp: 12.4°C (54.3°F)
Dew Pt: 11.2°C (52.2°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 42 kts (48.3 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 65 kts (74.8 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 2 mm/hr (0.08 in/hr)
 
The key here is a storm that is dropping pressure as it comes in both expands and strengthens it's wind field as it comes in and this makes them much more resilient and they hold those winds well inland.....I imagine anyone that gets within 30-40 miles of the center on the west side and 50-70 miles on the east side will get some hurricane force gust....he also has maybe another 3-4 hrs to deepen....
 
Another one from the SW "eyewall" its a cane for sure.....

Time: 23:14:00Z
Coordinates: 32.583N 79.333W
Acft. Static Air Press: 696.3 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 3,066 m (10,059 ft)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 988.7 mb (29.20 inHg)
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 324° at 29 kts (From the NW at 33.4 mph)
Air Temp: 13.9°C (57.0°F)
Dew Pt: 11.1°C (52.0°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 33 kts (38.0 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 68 kts (78.3 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 1 mm/hr (0.04 in/hr)
 
Probably gonna see precip really blossom here as the interaction occurs, starting to see hints of that

Tropical band will congeal with the front and work East. Hence those 6” + totals being realized in short order tonight for areas along and just west of 95. And, really what looks like a hybrid transition inland over the NC and VA as Isaias sustains strength, guidance has suggested this for several days.


DB41F4EC-4339-4D83-999B-0C846D961058.png
 
Tropical band will congeal with the front and work East. Hence those 6” + totals being realized in short order tonight for areas along and just west of 95. And, really what looks like a hybrid transition inland over the NC and VA as Isaias sustains strength, guidance has suggested this for several days.


View attachment 45979
Looks like I may be sitting pretty then just west of 95!
 
So, when is the action supposed to start around my way? Getting bored with the wait.
 
Train of rotating storms getting ready to come on shore.View attachment 45980

Yeah strong couplets.

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