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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Two interesting images. Saw elsewhere.

EbeGR9VWoAAvrAH



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One of my heroes—Roger Williams—coined the phrase “Monstrous Partiality”, which he used to describe those who were unable to recognize the error of their ways because they were so convinced of the rightness of their convictions.

If Williams were alive today he would describe the hard-line right and left the same way. I’m so tired of this monstrous partiality leading to such asinine bickering and political polarization. Everyone is so convinced of the rightness of their cause they cannot see their own hypocrisy staring them in the face.

“It’s the protestors!” “No it’s the stupid Christians!” Blah blah blah blah. Shut up and wear the mask!
I think I need to wash my mask I'm not sure how often you supposed to wash them but I definitely think I'm due
 
Two interesting images. Saw elsewhere.

EbeGR9VWoAAvrAH



se_uk_20jun_a.png
Comparing a nation that is in far northern Europe and has 6X less people total than the UK, and ultimately is far different than the US in terms of both culture and population density just twists perception. Every nation has a different scenario and impact so every nation has a different response.
 
Percentage increases in cases aren't correlated to percentage increases in testing at all. That has been proven over and over in multiple states.

Not the point. It’s backloading from yesterday. When you average 5-7k tests a day and 600-1000 confirmed cases and then go to 1000 tests and ~350 cases on one day, the spike the next day is probably back logged tests.
 
Comparing a nation that is in far northern Europe and has 6X less people total than the UK, and ultimately is far different than the US in terms of both culture and population density just twists perception. Every nation has a different scenario and impact so every nation has a different response.

That is true, but from daily deaths, to the rise and then decline in deaths match almost completely time wise between the two countries as does deaths per million. The difference is one locked down and the other didn’t.
 
Pretty significant drop in hospitalizations in North Carolina today, down to 843 from 890 yesterday and a peak of 915 last Tuesday. However, there is a cyclical nature to hospitalizations on a weekly basis, so I wouldn’t celebrate too much yet. Still, today’s 843 is lower than last Monday’s 870, so there could be something to it and perhaps hospitalizations have plateaued or peaked. We’ll see...hope for the best, expect the worst...

Excess hospital beds have now increased to 29% and ICU excess capacity has increased to 24%, which is the highest I can remember in a bit (which is good!).

Tomorrow will be telling, though. Tuesdays tend to be the worst days for hospitalizations.
 
I’m not against him or anything he says, but this kind of lines up with something I’ve been pondering. If we assume the new study means only 20% will need to be infected to achieve some sort of herd immunity and note assume. Then you assume CV may burn itself out naturally. Then you have to assume a whole bunch of companies stand to loss a pile of money. Then Fauci just so happens to come out and say this just after the latest study was released.

Speaking Sunday night to CNN’s Elizabeth Cohen as part of the Aspen Ideas Festival, Fauci said he would “settle” for a coronavirus vaccine that is 70% to 75% effective. By comparison, a measles vaccine is 97% to 98% effective.

“That would be wonderful if we get there,” Fauci, the government’s top infectious disease expert, said. “I don’t think we will. I would settle for a 70, 75% effective vaccine.”

Isn’t it kind of interesting how he comes out with a percentage that pretty much matches what the new study says? The rest of what he says makes plenty of sense, but it is a little convenient. Just thinking out loud.

 
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