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May be?

Myfrotho704_ said:
Hrrrv4 was about to get interesting with a MCS, the hrrrv4 has done extremely well even out in its “long range” View attachment 40777View attachment 40778
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It'll be interesting to see how this transpires over the next couple of days. SPC has us highlighted in a general t'storm area, and then have their Day 4 outlook showing a threat in the Plains and part of the TN Valley. After this threat, it may a while before we are able to track or get a decent thunderstorm, especially with the cooler weather returning midweek.
 
I loath summer temps, I mean loath......I have lived in swamp humid eastern NC my entire life but I HATE THE HEAT.....there is only one valid reason for it and that is to fuel those wonderfully awesome dusk thunderstorms we get on the sea breeze every other day.....did I mention I loath the heat hehe......so the next few weeks look wonderful to me.
 
ryan1234 said:
It'll be interesting to see how this transpires over the next couple of days. SPC has us highlighted in a general t'storm area, and then have their Day 4 outlook showing a threat in the Plains and part of the TN Valley. After this threat, it may a while before we are able to track or get a decent thunderstorm, especially with the cooler weather returning midweek.
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Yeah the threat of some type of MCS early next week is possible, but yeah unless there’s a quick warm sector setup in between these digging troughs which did happen in April, than the threat of storms will likely be slim till mid/late May
 
MCS going over the mtns is tricky forecast may not know until it reaches Boone, NC.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah the threat of some type of MCS early next week is possible, but yeah unless there’s a quick warm sector setup in between these digging troughs which did happen in April, than the threat of storms will likely be slim till mid/late May
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Which would normally suck, but with all the severe weather we've seen this season, I guess it'll be a nice break. Still, the weather nerd in me wants something to track. A month without storms would suck, but that's only one man's opinion.
 
SD said:
Ill be looking for this from July through Feb when it won't happen. Well maybe in NovemberView attachment 40781
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You know how fast those blues and purples would be moving offshore if it were January ??‍♂️I haven’t looked at maps in months but would I be correct in thinking this is all driven by a +PNA?
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
You know how fast those blues and purples would be moving offshore if it were January ??‍♂️I haven’t looked at maps in months but would I be correct in thinking this is all driven by a +PNA?
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Here’s the answer to your question, the closest we smelled something like this was that low-moderate winter storm back in Carolinas during February, quite sad this pattern decides to show itself when pools begin opening EEC53528-E0F4-4491-9325-3D914C4B6727.png
if there’s any hope for warmth, it’s that the subseasonal pattern looks extremely favorable around late may 25706E9A-E6F5-455F-855A-09ACBD4B5BE5.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Here’s the answer to your question, the closest we smelled something like this was that low-moderate winter storm back in Carolinas during February, quite sad this pattern decides to show itself when pools begin opening View attachment 40782
if there’s any hope for warmth, it’s that the subseasonal pattern looks extremely favorable around late may View attachment 40783
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The only thing missing there is a -AO. Text book winter pattern...in May ??‍♂️
 
Won’t be long before you get a flatter look like this, even with the impending cool down, strong/amplified pattern is hard to come by in the southeast during late May thru August, this colder pattern will probably last thru mid May or so before things heat up, so for the next 2 weeks or so, better enjoy the cooler weather while it lasts D464577C-B37F-4DAD-B3B3-D48F21FB24C7.png
 
This better not turn into something, I don’t think it will, for areas more north anyways, SE Canada vortex is the saving grace, altho that trough in the NE has been trending faster to move out which makes me eye this, especially near the gulf coast areas C23C3ED1-DE85-46E0-A54C-B5ED8802EA78.png
 
4921ea87f1d68097f2eb90bceb7355a3.jpg

Isn’t this a similar set up to what brought those 3 supercells through upstate sc?


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Is there some sort of cold air damming going on... whats with the temps across the northern piedmont of NC and central VA... why is it 73 in Raleigh, 68 just north of us, while warmer places DC north, and places to the sw. I swear there is some sort of cold air damming always in any form. I love being the only below avg spot on the east coast again ( sarcastic) . Duck NC colder than montauk...

Looking forward to dead veggies next week, anyone else? Places west of the apps in TN and KY could be looking at a hard freeze and challenging all-time record lows, not daily.
 
Absolutely beautiful on Jekyll Island yesterday and today. Low-mid 80s with that nice breeze. Pretty humid being on the water of course, but I'll take it this time of year.
 
183279a0f739e9d96a4656783e77b7cc.jpg


Is severe weather potential increasing for Monday? Nam soundings for ne Georgia upstate sc looks to have a severe potential


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One positive thing about this Spring despite what's shaping to be a ------ May... Spring started in March as it should instead of nonstop wait for it only to jump into summer in May. March has been a rather chilly month last few years so to have a warm March was a blessing.
 
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