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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

Euro once again all in for the I-20 corridor and points north and in SE NC... Even if you cut these totals in half-2/3rds you're still talking advisory-worthy event in the NWS ILM domain.
ecmwf_tsnow_nc_8.png
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
What about Columbia SC?? Look like we could see some!!
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Yeah, Columbia will be right on the southern periphery of any accumulating snow but the threat is very legit in the midlands imo... Still think someone near or between Columbia, Florence, Wilmington, Fayetteville, & Rockingham, NC may be the big winners east of the mountains/foothills
 
Looking good, according to HRRR!
 
Here's the current NWS snow/ice accumulation forecast. I can imagine these numbers may come up a tad for most spots esp in the southwestern mountains of NC.
ndfd_snow_nc_8.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah, Columbia will be right on the southern periphery of any accumulating snow but the threat is very legit in the midlands imo... Still think someone near or between Columbia, Florence, Wilmington, Fayetteville, & Rockingham, NC may be the big winners east of the mountains/foothills
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Ever been to Columbia in July or August? Those folks need to get down on their knees today ... :cool:
 
All I got left is the SREF members, so I am just giving up on snow for here. However, surprises may come, so I am only wishing that the dry air will save us. Good luck to everyone else though!
 
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pcbjr said:
No advisory, but even the town where I was born (Wilmington) looks to be in on some frozen ....
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Yeah I agree, I think there could be some light accumulations there. Here's my last call map for this storm. Think the southern coastal plain south of Fayetteville has a legit chance to get an inch or more of snow. Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Dillon, SC, Jacksonville, NC etc. look to be in the relative sweet spot imo. Liable to be another maximum in snowfall accumulations in the southwestern piedmont of NC and near/west of I-77 corridor in upstate SC...
March 11-12 2017 NC Snow forecast.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah I agree, I think there could be some light accumulations there. Here's my last call map for this storm. Think the southern coastal plain south of Fayetteville has a legit chance to get an inch or more of snow. Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Dillon, SC, Jacksonville, NC etc. look to be in the relative sweet spot imo. Liable to be another maximum in snowfall accumulations in the southwestern piedmont of NC and near/west of I-77 corridor in upstate SC...
View attachment 469
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1st snow I remember - 4 years old - living at Wrightsville Beach! Been a junkie ever since ... LOL
 
pcbjr said:
1st snow I remember - 4 years old - living at Wrightsville Beach! Been a junkie ever since ... LOL
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Running a half marathon in 2 weeks in Wrightsville Beach, too bad it's not tomorrow that would be fun.

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Webberweather53 said:
Yeah I agree, I think there could be some light accumulations there. Here's my last call map for this storm. Think the southern coastal plain south of Fayetteville has a legit chance to get an inch or more of snow. Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Dillon, SC, Jacksonville, NC etc. look to be in the relative sweet spot imo. Liable to be another maximum in snowfall accumulations in the southwestern piedmont of NC and near/west of I-77 corridor in upstate SC...
View attachment 469
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Curious to know what your thoughts were on the Midlands of SC. I looked at the Euro earlier and it didn't look bad. I see WWA advisories going up around us.
 
Just when we were about to give up on this storm, then boom lol
 
accu35 said:
Just when we were about to give up on this storm, then boom lol
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Down here - it's a different sorta boom typically -- boom boom, out go the lights ... LOL
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Seriously, though - still watching with fingers crossed for ya'all! - Phil
 
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My eyes may be playing tricks on me but it seems like to me the event is playing out similarly to what the nam has shown before on the radar. Not exact, but similar.
 
water vapor loop shows a pretty good line of moisture into the gulf south of houston and it is expanding.
 
pcbjr said:
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

:)
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SD said:
Hours 15-18 on the loop didn't look that bad up this way either. Good luck down that way

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Thanks! Really hoping I can squeeze out an inch of snow here. There's not going to be a lot of room for error here where I'm at, a minor shift and miscalculation in ambient atmospheric moisture, precipitation timing, intensity and duration means the difference between flurries and 1-2". It may not seem like a lot to the average joe but I'll take whatever I can get
 
Webberweather53 said:
Thanks! Really hoping I can squeeze out an inch of snow here. There's not going to be a lot of room for error here where I'm at, a minor shift and miscalculation in ambient atmospheric moisture, precipitation timing, intensity and duration means the difference between flurries and 1-2". It may not seem like a lot to the average joe but I'll take whatever I can get[/QUOTE]
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Yup! Story of our lives! :confused:
 
SD said:
SD is rolling with the RGEM at this point
sn10_acc.us_ma.png
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RGEM continues to improve....wooohooo maybe I see a few flakes yet. You might get a dusting at this rate and Webb....I hope you jackpot man.

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metwannabe said:
RGEM continues to improve....wooohooo maybe I see a few flakes yet. You might get a dusting at this rate and Webb....I hope you jackpot man.

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Its an interesting model battle setting up....the RGEM is slowly trending wetter and north while the NAM went kaput. Love it
 
GFS looks much better for NC this time esp outside the SW Piedmont. Robeson, Bladen, Pender, and south-central Duplin and Sampson counties are the places to be.
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