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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

KGSP best call as of now...

Looks about right.

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Huge decrease on the gefs mean . Big euro and eps trend to weaker

12z gefs

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18z gefs
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SD said:
That storm though. Good for the NE they have had a tough decade

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"Tough" Yeah, the 2010s have been very mean to them, I could only imagine all the heart ache they've been through getting at least one monster 1-2+ footer almost every winter
They've been spoiled beyond belief...
#jealous
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Webberweather53 said:
"Tough" Yeah, the 2010s have been very mean to them, I could only imagine all the heart ache they've been through getting at least one monster 1-2+ footer almost every winter
They've been spoiled beyond belief...
#jealous
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Can you just give me the dancing salt shaker

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Webberweather53 said:
"Tough" Yeah, the 2010s have been very mean to them, I could only imagine all the heart ache they've been through getting at least one monster 1-2+ footer almost every winter
They've been spoiled beyond belief...
#jealous
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Why the h&$$ do you feel the need to pour salt on our open wounds


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Alright time for things to start ticking upward again for northern tn. Olhausen let's reign this one in.
 
Funny how 24 hours ago things looked so good for the Saturday night/Sunday storm. Shows how fast things can change whend it comes to winter storm threats here. I am glad I don't take this seriously and let it bother me. Now I can just laugh it off. Life goes on.
 
I fully expect the NAM to back way off on snow totals here in a little bit . As Webber pointed out the NAM has a know bias of too much QPF


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Storm5 said:
I fully expect the NAM to back way off on snow totals here in a little bit . As Webber pointed out the NAM has a know bias of too much QPF


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I fully expect the NAM to be right!
 
pcbjr said:
and furthermore he refuses, despite numerous pleas, to post sexy snow maps for FL ... LOL :cool:
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What snow maps? lol jk, there are a few storms (March 1993, December 1989, March 1986, January 1977, February 1973, February 1958, February 1899, etc.) but few are terribly significant
 
snowvol said:
Alright time for things to start ticking upward again for northern tn. Olhausen let's reign this one in.
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I'd love 3-4 or more but I'll be more then satisfied with 1-2 inches in march. I'll admit I was a little bummed when totals first went down. I then quickly remembered it's almost mid march and we may even get a dusting out of next weeks storm!
 
Webberweather53 said:
What snow maps? lol jk, there are a few storms (March 1993, December 1989, March 1986, January 1977, February 1973, February 1958, February 1899, etc.) but few are terribly significant
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Hey Webb! - I know :( Just sittin' here wishin' - but come September, I bet I can put some maps up! :mad:
Keep up the good work - it sure as hell beats watching TV :p
Thanks, Man!
 
The dumping is happening. Get ready for a great set of runs, if you know what I mean!

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I looked over that Para NAM. There is nothing that makes sense for the 2 inch amounts (would be sleet) through here. In fact the precipitation type maps even show rain. Odd little snow map generation we have there.
 
whatalife said:
Yes! What type of coloring book would you like...LOL!


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One with clowns in it because this model is a complete clown. Seriously, the entire suite of NCEP models are slowly becoming the laughing stock of the meteorological community, and the NAM is the epitome of this
 
Webberweather53 said:
One with clowns in it because this model is a complete clown. Seriously, the entire suite of NCEP models are slowly becoming the laughing stock of the meteorological community, and the NAM is the epitome of this
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Already colored in for you ... LOL ;)

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olhausen said:
I'd love 3-4 or more but I'll be more then satisfied with 1-2 inches in march. I'll admit I was a little bummed when totals first went down. I then quickly remembered it's almost mid march and we may even get a dusting out of next weeks storm!
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But also remember that sometimes the GFS and other models also underdue the precip, especially in the later winter months toward spring. I would not be one bit surprised to see more robust precip that what the gfs and especially the euro have shown. So while the NAM may be a bit overdone, I would say there is a good chance the gfs and euro are somewhat underdone as well.
 
malak05 said:
The runs have started next 24 hours might just make or break some winters
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Once they start, sometimes you need amodium! :(
 
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