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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Snowless & Grumpy said:
You must be a glutton for punishment if you anxiously await Euro runs. Lol when has it brought anything but reality and disappointment recently inside 240 hrs?
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That's true. Outside of scrapping the coast the last day or two, it hasn't shown anything worth anything all year.
 
winter is coming, 30s for highs, its gonna get cold, so there should honestly be no winter cancel, snow is just the other half, but honestly i'm ready for may, already financially and mentally prepared for chasecation
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
winter is coming, 30s for highs, its gonna get cold, so there should honestly be no winter cancel, snow is just the other half, but honestly i'm ready for may, already financially and mentally prepared for chasecation
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Cold and dry just sucks to be honest. That’s like 33 and rain to me. As we say” waste of cold air”.


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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
That’s more like it. I was afraid it was going to get cold here for a couple of daysView attachment 31024
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k0skinne said:
At least somebody is doing well ... could any of you imagine something like this???

Check this out!
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Would be nice if they would share some of that with us! I cancelled a ski trip in NC not long ago since the resort was closed. The previous years they listed only go back to '98. Would be interesting to see what '93 was like. I went to Colorado to ski that year in February and it was near record amounts.
 
SD said:
Its going to suck hard when the epo goes bonkers and we are cold from 3/1-4/15 with nothing but a few slush muffins to show for it

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Late March- April will be BN. That I can believe.


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I'm trying to get some thoughts together/ideas laid out for the last week this month for the pattern and for a winter storm. More thoughts/ideas will come to me over time. As I've been saying, I'm ALL IN during the last week for something really good! I don't want to really say too much at this time, cause of course the time range is still a ways out and things will change. But, I have a few idea's laid out. One of the things I like to do is to look for trends so far over this winter season. One of those trends is that there has been blocking over a good portion of Canada and over extreme northern sections of the US. So, it's also possible that there would be blocking over a good portion in Canada during the last week this month. This blocking would of course amplify storm systems to the south, especially when the low gains latitude.

Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
 
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Dang it, was hoping it would get cold enough to kill the grass back off but this cool spell will just slow it down, was trying to hold off on buying a mower until late February but will be mowing for sure by then.
 
WxWatch said:
I'm trying to get some thoughts together/ideas laid out for the last week this month for the pattern and for a winter storm. More thoughts/ideas will come to me over time. As I've been saying, I'm ALL IN during the last week for something really good! I don't want to really say too much at this time, cause of course the time range is still a ways out and things will change. But, I have a few idea's laid out. One of the things I like to do is to look for trends so far over this winter season. One of those trends is that there has been blocking over a good portion of Canada and over extreme northern sections of the US. So, it's also possible that there would be blocking over a good portion in Canada during the last week this month. This blocking would of course amplify storm systems to the south, especially when the low gains latitude.

Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
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1579115690431.png
 
k0skinne said:
At least somebody is doing well ... could any of you imagine something like this???

Check this out!
Click to expand...

I went there once. I stopped on one of the trails, and went to the side. My legs were extremely tired and i wanted to sit for a minute to rest. Took one step too far and went off where it was no longer packed. I sank to my waist in the snow! That just was not possibility that entered my brain.
 
Let's just go back to 2003 and wait for the 10 day update on TWC for updates. I think we are just pushing Mother Nature away. It's like we are that guy, trying to flirt with a girl that we like, but we are being way to aggressive, obsessive, and creepy about it. So we are just pushing her away. Lol
 
WxWatch said:
I'm trying to get some thoughts together/ideas laid out for the last week this month for the pattern and for a winter storm. More thoughts/ideas will come to me over time. As I've been saying, I'm ALL IN during the last week for something really good! I don't want to really say too much at this time, cause of course the time range is still a ways out and things will change. But, I have a few idea's laid out. One of the things I like to do is to look for trends so far over this winter season. One of those trends is that there has been blocking over a good portion of Canada and over extreme northern sections of the US. So, it's also possible that there would be blocking over a good portion in Canada during the last week this month. This blocking would of course amplify storm systems to the south, especially when the low gains latitude.

Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
Click to expand...

cf9b8686eee1041627c0a1a0a1c6843d.gif




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WxWatch said:
I'm trying to get some thoughts together/ideas laid out for the last week this month for the pattern and for a winter storm. More thoughts/ideas will come to me over time. As I've been saying, I'm ALL IN during the last week for something really good! I don't want to really say too much at this time, cause of course the time range is still a ways out and things will change. But, I have a few idea's laid out. One of the things I like to do is to look for trends so far over this winter season. One of those trends is that there has been blocking over a good portion of Canada and over extreme northern sections of the US. So, it's also possible that there would be blocking over a good portion in Canada during the last week this month. This blocking would of course amplify storm systems to the south, especially when the low gains latitude.

Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
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A map of the areas you think will see the heaviest snow would be great... thanks.
 
whatalife said:
cf9b8686eee1041627c0a1a0a1c6843d.gif




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Haha, that's how everyone is going to be like if my predictions comes true. Seriously though, I get it, my predictions aren't supported by scientific evidence and don't have hard core scientific literature. Weather predictions don't always have to be backed by science.

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WxWatch said:
Haha, that's how everyone is going to be like if my predictions comes true. Seriously though, I get it, my predictions aren't supported by scientific evidence and don't have hard core scientific literature. Weather predictions don't always have to be backed by science.

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That's how I do my predictions. Gold standard right there.
 
WxWatch said:
Haha, that's how everyone is going to be like if my predictions comes true. Seriously though, I get it, my predictions aren't supported by scientific evidence and don't have hard core scientific literature. Weather predictions don't always have to be backed by science.

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So I guess this is what you are talking about. This is the 12z Euro Control and I’m only posting it because times SUCK right now!

944d637e16c0363a14f51c9a09b9cbaa.gif


7cecc1f20f11d357cce0f604129249aa.jpg



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whatalife said:
So I guess this is what you are talking about. This is the 12z Euro Control and I’m only posting it because times SUCK right now!

944d637e16c0363a14f51c9a09b9cbaa.gif


7cecc1f20f11d357cce0f604129249aa.jpg



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Yup, that's it! I think the low would develop sooner though. What does it look like on the early frames on the surface? I'm asking cause the snowfall output is showing snow further to the west.
 
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