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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

At hour 174 and forward it appears the moisture doesn't move East out of Texas. Would this be due to the strong High?
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
This could be the one for South Carolina.. I count at least 8-9 members with some type of accumulation here. Wow!
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Yeah, if we get a coastal storm or even just a NW trend but not to much than the southeast including your area would be golden. I better not get on the "MBY snow" or the mod team will take over LOL!!!
 
Lot of folks from my area back west don't root for the coastal. However I don't mind going on a blind date with the coastals, because most of the time (not always) mby scores. So sign me & PF up, especially from this far out.
 
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Coastal or not, gefs has been all over this southern track solution for days now maybe a week. When I see a consistent modeling for this with the ens, then that makes a believer out of me.
 
accu35 said:
Coastal or not, gefs has been all over this southern track solution for days now maybe a week. When I see a consistent modeling for this with the ens, then that makes a believer out of me.
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It’s gonna be erratic with so much energy floating around


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FB37348D-9184-4A39-B57C-633D51970893.png it sounds odd but if we could just get a little bit of a SER that would really help out with the first wave. We need a moisture feed from the gulf and the NS just shuts it off. As everyone has been saying, just back everything W some and we are money. If there’s a trend we can always count on it’s a trend for a stronger SER. I don’t think that would be a bad thing at this point.
 
Rain Cold said:
This is what I was talking about the other day...having lots of members showing something and a few showing a big dog. If you're in eastern NC, for example, you have 14 members giving you snow or having it really close to you. And you have 2 or 3 really significant or big dog events. It tells you that you'd better pay attention and that you might need to really, really pay attention. That's what you want to see. And you want to see it hold, obviously.
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Yes if the Euro shows a trend of shifting the trough west, even just a little bit, it will keep my attention
 
I imagine by Saturday the models will start to converge on a solution. Nice to still see a strong signal from the ensembles the warning shots have definitely been fired. Just remember folks DONT take every op run verbatim it can and will change the thing to look for is consistency. Well hone in on the details as we get closer in time. I can't add anything that's not already been said. We're all very fortunate for this crew a lot of good posters in here a lot I've know for almost a decade who have forgotten more than I've learned so pay attention sit back and enjoy the ride!!! Cheers my friends!!!
 
Not too bad for a mean this far out, just needs a little work but it's doable considering the upcoming large scale upper air patterns.
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One thing I’ve come to know about coastal snow storms over the years is they are somewhat immune to the NW trend in a sense they don’t run back inland. However they can, and usually do, trend closer to the coast putting the eastern Carolinas in play and really as far west as Charlotte at times.
 
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