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Wintry December 10-11th winter potential

KyloG said:
GFS covers the entire state of TN.

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It's a good setup to be honest for areas near Nashville. Have to be concerned about losing moisture in the dgz but good lift and enough lingering moisture to squeeze out a nice 1-3 event with maybe a 4 somewhere

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Would this be a Tuesday daytime event for North Ms or an overnight Tuesday/Wednesday event?
 
NWMSGuy said:
Would this be a Tuesday daytime event for North Ms or an overnight Tuesday/Wednesday event?
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Mid afternoon to midnight or so. Have to say I just looked at the icon and its basically a shut out so there's a little cause for concern here with maybe cold not making it in in time

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Wednesday morning looks interesting just east of the Mtn (someone tag Frosty in Mount Airy) I wouldn’t rule out the ground getting white in parts of the foothills. See the NAM for reference.
 
Threading the needle with 1-4” of heavy wet snow in the northern foothills. Unlikely. 2C1C44FF-7FC0-4666-8949-2070C232C0D7.jpeg
 
Going back and looking at the Euro seems to be increasing totals and expanding ever so slightly east with each run, nice trend this close to go time.
 
Well the NAM keeps trying to inch that snow line down close into the NW corner of GA let's all hope that continues to maybe squeeze our some love for a few other southerners
 
malak05 said:
Well the NAM keeps trying to inch that snow line down close into the NW corner of GA let's all hope that continues to maybe squeeze our some love for a few other southerners
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Yes keep it going south
 
WPC has the best snow odds from Nashville TN north eastward for 1” or more. They also have the TN/GA border area with decent odds of freezing rain. Check their site out if your wondering what the NWS will do next. They use it as guidance for any advisories or watches. Odds will go up closer to the event.
 
I think up to an inch or so @ 1,750' and above for the Plateau in AL and TN is legit. Maybe 1-1.5" for Crossville northward. For most of us in the lowers in TN and bordering states to the south, a dusting to 1/4" of sleet/snow at the tail end is about all we can ask for with this type of setup.
 
Rick said:
Looks pretty good is this reliable though the model ?
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Don’t forget the tropical tidbits snow maps are honestly absolute TRASH. It’s the only part of the site I can’t stand. So that is very misleading. I really wish he would change them. I’ve seen those tropical tidbits snow maps in so many weather hyping posts across social media.


Pivotal Weather has Kuchera snow maps which are much much better. And much more realistic. We aren’t going to see widespread 5+ inches.
3km is even more conservative than this. That’s a Red flag and likely means this may even be overdone.
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0z gfs has central MS in the game now and almost central Al. Snow line creeping south. Gefs should be good.
 
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Fountainguy97 said:
Don’t forget the tropical tidbits snow maps are honestly absolute TRASH. It’s the only part of the site I can’t stand. So that is very misleading. I really wish he would change them. I’ve seen those tropical tidbits snow maps in so many weather hyping posts across social media.


Pivotal Weather has Kuchera snow maps which are much much better. And much more realistic. We aren’t going to see widespread 5+ inches.
3km is even more conservative than this. That’s a Red flag and likely means this may even be overdone.
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somehow I don't see that 3.5 just to my east verifying
 
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