Pattern Scorchtember

[NorthDFWwx]

It's gotten overlooked with Dorian, but there's a sizeable moderate drought area over southern and western portions of Metro Atlanta. It should only get worse and expand over the next week.

EDIT: All of the models look bone dry too in the long range. For those that want a "cool" or even "normal" Fall, this isn't a good trend.

 

[SD]

90 today. Yay

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[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

It's gotten overlooked with Dorian, but there's a sizeable moderate drought area over southern and western portions of Metro Atlanta. It should only get worse and expand over the next week.

EDIT: All of the models look bone dry too in the long range. For those that want a "cool" or even "normal" Fall, this isn't a good trend.

View attachment 23008

This is a normal fall. Has been for years now and will be from here on.

 

[SD]

Mcs szn on the Canadian

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[NorthDFWwx]

Today's high was 96*F.

 

[Tarheel1]

I miss when we would get lows in the 50s in September.

I remember when we’d get lows in the 50s in January, I miss those!

 

[tennessee storm]

Today's high was 96*F.

Looks like I can keep the pool open extended period this September ....

 

[NoSnowATL]

Looks like I can keep the pool open extended period this September ....

On this pace in a few years we can have a Halloween party at the pool.


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[cd2play]

Looks like I can keep the pool open extended period every September ....

FIFY, because I think this is the way it's going to be from now on.

 

[Brent]

yay more 100s forecast /not

I knew they jinxed it when they said we were done... its never done anymore

 

[NorthDFWwx]

The HRRR was showing a high of 98"F today.

We'll see...

 

[NorthDFWwx]

The HRRR was showing a high of 98"F today.

We'll see...

12z run is now showing a high of 99*F.

It's advertising 100*F for Columbus.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

12z run is now showing a high of 99*F.

It's advertising 100*F for Columbus.

At least its a dry heat.

 

[J.C.]

If these forecasts hold to be true, September definitely has the potential to be the warmest month this year.

 

[ATLwxfan]

At least its a dry heat.

72° this AM at bootcamp wasn’t as bad as a couple weeks ago when it was more humid. At this point what’s another 4 or 5 weeks of heat. The drought is the bigger issue.


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[SoutheastRidge]

72° this AM at bootcamp wasn’t as bad as a couple weeks ago when it was more humid. At this point what’s another 4 or 5 weeks of heat. The drought is the bigger issue.


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September heat rarely bothers me. The lower sun angle plus the fact the dp's are usually lower make it much more tolerable than heat from June-August.

 

[Brent]

I can't say I'm surprised though, I knew if Dorian became a big deal off the east coast it was gonna get hot...

 

[NorthDFWwx]

I can't say I'm surprised though, I knew if Dorian became a big deal off the east coast it was gonna get hot...

Yep.

 

[accu35]

Good to see 12z gfs shows some cooler weather in the middle to long range. Yeah, it will still be warm but the over nights should start cooling and to me that's a start

 

[NoSnowATL]

Glenn Burns says 2 more weeks of Summer then we get a pattern change to something closer to avg. Its sad we need a pattern change just to get normal temps.

 

[J.C.]

Glenn Burns says 2 more weeks of Summer then we get a pattern change to something closer to avg. Its sad we need a pattern change just to get normal temps.

I'm not sure why he would say that, the models can't get things right within the 2 week time frame.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

96 in Atlanta at 4pm. It's pretty rare to get temps above 95 in September.

 

[J.C.]

96 in Atlanta at 4pm. It's pretty rare to get temps above 95 in September.

That should be a record.

It will also be many records if this forecast is remotely true.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

96 in Atlanta at 4pm. It's pretty rare to get temps above 95 in September.

98*F here in Newnan appears it will be the high.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

98*F here in Newnan appears it will be the high.

Have you ever experienced 98 in September where you live ?

 

[NorthDFWwx]

That should be a record.

It will also be many records if this forecast is remotely true.

The record high for today at ATL is 100*F (set in 1925).

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Have you ever experienced 98 in September where you live ?

You mean back in Detroit?

Not in September, although the year I left (2017), we had 3 days in a row of 90*F+ the first week of September with dewpoints in the 70s each day.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

You mean back in Detroit?

Not in September, although the year I left (2017), we had 3 days in a row of 90*F+ the first week of September with dewpoints in the 70s each day.

I lived in Carrollton until 2016 and dont ever recall it being warmer than 95 in September.

 

[J.C.]

I lived in Carrollton until 2016 and dont ever recall it being warmer than 95 in September.

I've lived in Georgia most of my life since 1987, and I can't ever remember a time where it was going to be mid 90s for weeks on end in September, not even close.

 

[NoSnowATL]

I've lived in Georgia most of my life since 1987, and I can't ever remember a time where it was going to be mid 90s for weeks on end in September, not even close.

2016 was a hot September.


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[NorthDFWwx]

2016 was a hot September.


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2016 was a hot September.


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Even last September was a record warmest for ATL, if I'm not mistaken. Granted, we didn't have the days on end of mid/upper 90s that are forecasted this time.

It seems to be increasingly normal now for May and September to feature mid Summer-like temps.

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Thank goodness I'm a bit North now. Highs here the next 7 days will be from 77 to 83. Lows 55-60.

 

[pcbjr]

Thank goodness I'm a bit North now. Highs here the next 7 days will be from 77 to 83. Lows 55-60.

Lucky you ... and I mean that ...

Gainesville thinks Dorian heralded summer ...

 

[J.C.]

Even last September was a record warmest for ATL, if I'm not mistaken. Granted, we didn't have the days on end of mid/upper 90s that are forecasted this time.

It seems to be increasingly normal now for May and September to feature mid Summer-like temps.

And we just blew the doors off the warmest May in record by almost 2 degrees. It’s the months on either side of the meteorological summer most affected it seems.

 

[J.C.]

So I just looked, last September was the second warmest on record at 81F, the record was 84F in 1925. It would take a monumental cool down the last ten days of the month to not be somewhere in the top 3.

 

[SD]

The ridge over the US looks pretty static at the moment. May end up having to have a typhoon alter the jet to dislodge it

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[ForsythSnow]

The ridge over the US looks pretty static at the moment. May end up having to have a typhoon alter the jet to dislodge it

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We have 2 storms out in the West Pac right now, so if one doesn't do it, the other will.

 

[cd2play]

So I just looked, last September was the second warmest on record at 81F, the record was 84F in 1925. It would take a monumental cool down the last ten days of the month to not be somewhere in the top 3.

It's hard to believe as hot as last September was, this one may end up every bit as hot. Wondering if it's going to be another year of widespread 90s well into October.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

It's still 80*F at 5am in the morning in September.

Pretty impressive.

 

[NCSNOW]

Summer doesn't end till last week of September. Ive found my wx/ patterns flip on the dime with the equinox calendar 4 times a year. Always warm and humid first half September. By the last day of the month, crab grass has gone kapoof and its low dps , indian summer wx. warm days in the sun, cool nights (mid 50's)