• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Anaphylactic August

A shelfie for fro
cf404c731815b97d611795353a1f6510.jpg


Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
 
SD said:
You couldn't have waited another hour

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I thought it was going to be later, honestly. But I was able to get ahead of the severe Greensboro storm. It was a mess! Worst driving conditions I've ever experienced. There was literally debris in the air for 5 minutes on 220.

Here is a picture I took after I got ahead of it on 40 in Burlington.

20190822_165933.jpg

And here is a picture of a car that ran through a roll of toilet paper that I was able to avoid. When you gotta go, you gotta go, I guess.

20190822_164738.jpg
 
Rain Cold said:
I thought it was going to be later, honestly. But I was able to get ahead of the severe Greensboro storm. It was a mess! Worst driving conditions I've ever experienced. There was literally debris in the air for 5 minutes on 220.

Here is a picture I took after I got ahead of it on 40 in Burlington.

View attachment 21838

And here is a picture of a car that ran through a roll of toilet paper that I was able to avoid. When you gotta go, you gotta go, I guess.

View attachment 21839
Click to expand...
Good lord radar looks good up your way

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
 
Some snaps from earlier.... No rain whatsoever.

IMG_0865.JPGIMG_0867.JPGIMG_0870.JPGIMG_0871.JPG
 

Attachments

  • IMG_0865.JPG
    IMG_0865.JPG
    1.3 MB · Views: 13
  • IMG_0867.JPG
    IMG_0867.JPG
    1.3 MB · Views: 13
  • IMG_0870.JPG
    IMG_0870.JPG
    1.6 MB · Views: 14
  • IMG_0871.JPG
    IMG_0871.JPG
    1.6 MB · Views: 13
So, will we get more storm coverage tomorrow, or do the skies need time to heal?
 
Today could be interesting around here. Under a level 2 threat for severe storms. RAH has a 60% chance of storms this afternoon, and a 100% chance for tonight.

NC_swody1.png
 
Looks like a marginal to slight risk of severe for most of the area today.

HrrrrRR shows most of the activity to the north and northeast.

Screenshot_20190823-072856_Samsung Internet.jpg

3K NAMit brings the activity farther south:

Screenshot_20190823-073100_Samsung Internet.jpg

Screenshot_20190823-073132_Samsung Internet.jpg
 
Rain Cold said:
Looks like a marginal to slight risk of severe for most of the area today.

HrrrrRR shows most of the activity to the north and northeast.

View attachment 21860

3K NAMit brings the activity farther south:

View attachment 21861

View attachment 21862
Click to expand...

They probably have the marginal more SE for more isolated pulse convection, altho some storms may show weak organization from increasing 0-3km shear, 3000 jkg of SBcape, lots of LLVL moisture with some drying around 700mb and 700-900 jkg of DCAPE is what’s making this threat today, idk tho profiles look soggy near CLT altho storms will likely try to find a way to get severe 713681E8-0682-4F27-86EC-2BA63E9E2CF8.jpeg
 
SD said:
Im sitting the over under at .12

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Going to foolishly go with short term persistence and take the over. Your location can serve as the official measuring station, since my guesstamator is only accurate to the nearest tenth of an inch.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
They probably have the marginal more SE for more isolated pulse convection, altho some storms may show weak organization from increasing 0-3km shear, 3000 jkg of SBcape, lots of LLVL moisture with some drying around 700mb and 700-900 jkg of DCAPE is what’s making this threat today, idk tho profiles look soggy near CLT altho storms will likely try to find a way to get severe View attachment 21864
Click to expand...
Honestly wouldn't be surprised to see a slight expansion of the slight risk area to the south.
 
Rain Cold said:
Honestly wouldn't be surprised to see a slight expansion of the slight risk area to the south.
Click to expand...
I expect it will expand south some and I'm going to set the over under up here at 1".... I'm on a roll

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
 
metwannabe said:
Doesn't look as if they it expanded it any in their morning update... Wake Co. still the ever present dividing line
Click to expand...
Should be a fun afternoon regardless. With the outflow moving south and the mid level flow SW to W we should see storms develop from N to S but cells generally move W to E which should lead to some nice rain totals. It also looks like somewhere either side of I40 may be a convergent axis for storms to fire ahead of the main show

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
 
Lots of low level shear right now, likely it won’t stay but if it would then there would be problems
 
SD said:
Should be a fun afternoon regardless. With the outflow moving south and the mid level flow SW to W we should see storms develop from N to S but cells generally move W to E which should lead to some nice rain totals. It also looks like somewhere either side of I40 may be a convergent axis for storms to fire ahead of the main show

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Yeah I'm actually thinking you guys might be in that sweet spot today..... good luck and may the fro be with you.
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah I'm actually thinking you guys might be in that sweet spot today..... good luck and may the fro be with you.
Click to expand...
I'm actually thinking the 2 maximums are at the borders between 40/Va and 74/SC with the minimum in the middle. I wouldn't be at all surprised to get 0, the front is slowing just enough that we are really relying on the outflow as the main driver. If that doesn't kick things off around or shortly after dark the front timing will be terribly bad

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
 
SD said:
I'm actually thinking the 2 maximums are at the borders between 40/Va and 74/SC with the minimum in the middle. I wouldn't be at all surprised to get 0, the front is slowing just enough that we are really relying on the outflow as the main driver. If that doesn't kick things off around or shortly after dark the front timing will be terribly bad

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

If you take the HRRR and NAM into account, and go down the middle of the two, looks like right along 64 will be the sweet spot. Could be rocking between 40 and 64 in NC.
 
Southern 2/3 of NC looks like a powder keg ready to blow today.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top