Full of convective issues or moisture robbing. Some models struggle with this more than others. EURO is little better for this storm.
Full of convective issues or moisture robbing. Some models struggle with this more than others. EURO is little better for this storm.
What I find weird is how the rgem hasn’t at least had a uptick in precip, LP has gotten closer to the coast each run, I’m assuming it some energy at H5 not going right, anyways continue to get that heavier precip from the coastal itself getting closer/closer LP and there would likely be a uptick in precip but also maybe some overwhelming WAA in some areas View attachment 18321
Warm air advection and the northwestward extent of precipitation field go hand-in-hand, they're not mutually exclusive as was implied by a blogger on the previous page. It's therefore high unlikely we'll see WAA and less precipitation given that WAA is one of the forcing(s) for ascent here in addition to CVA and CVA is arguably the primary one.
Unfortunately, many fail to make this basic connection between short-range NW trends & stronger than modeled mid-level warm noses we both observe time & time again in storms like this.
Warm air advection and the northwestward extent of precipitation field go hand-in-hand, they're not mutually exclusive as was implied by a blogger on the previous page. It's therefore high unlikely we'll see WAA and less precipitation given that WAA is one of the forcing(s) for ascent here in addition to CVA and CVA is arguably the primary one. More intense WAA >>> more ascent >>> more likely to see precipitation over a larger area.
Unfortunately, many fail to make this basic connection between short-range NW trends & stronger than modeled mid-level warm noses we both observe time & time again in storms like this.
The UK had more QPF NW and also had a large area around the I-85 corridor from GSP to CLT with 2+ in of snow.You can make a point and disagree without being condescending, keep it respectful and friendly. I have not personally attacked you or spoken to you in a condescending way at all.
Furthermore, I shared my personal experience and also noted it may not be the case here but that I expect the qpf to be light along and nw of the 85 corridor. I fail to see how discussing the 3km and RGEM, the two best models we have for thermal profiles and qpf inside 48 hours, is model hugging or how posting graphics of the GFS, Fv3 and even the wet/nw UK is model hugging.
Anyone have UK snow/qpf maps? Hard to tell from the rough meteocentre ones what it’s showing.
How’s the Brazilian model looking?Honestly if ur going to sit here and tell me I shouldn’t be confident with the euro/eps/ICON/ukmet/Nam 12km combo?! Then ur actually insane hahahha
Y’all gonna gab about it or post some images??rap needs to take a nap lol