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Pattern April Chasing ???⛈⛈⛈

Hmmm quite an uptick of snow and storm signals in tonight’s GEFS run ... something tells me the euro may show up tonight with a home run
 
LMAO LMAO 0Z FV3 ?: biggest laugh yet but temps are only in 32-35 range in the Augusta to Columbia corridor for 30 hours with 0.6-0.75” of qpf from two waves:C2CB5335-569A-456C-B153-53066961424F.pngC1BD94EA-46AF-435E-8FB8-792C2D205CEA.png
 
Even the Euro now has significant snow in the far W Carolinas to NE GA and far E TN with the 1/2” line almost down to an Athens to Cumming line in GA! Look at these temps, which are as cold as 35 between Athens and Atlanta:
34E2D853-161D-434D-9F7E-DEE88C540B67.png6B33A45B-CB2B-4B52-A624-63BB1455B93D.png

Now that we're within 5 days, it is time to consider the real possibility that something very special may affect some of the SE US next Mon-Tue as this doesn't seem to be going away on the models. The chasing might end up being for snow!
 
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Recorded history of April snow: Augusta none, Columbia maybe not since trace of 1915, Athens not since the trace of 1952;
None of these cities has ever recorded measurable snow or sleet in April.

Edit: Good heavens, even the 0Z EPS ? has increased snow for the W Carolinas, far NE GA, and W TN!29E30D4D-6C52-4311-83C3-8D6BA2174D70.png
 
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Only thing I see is some snow mountain snow if enough moisture gets thrown west. Enough of the cold rain, I'm so over it

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GaWx said:
Even the Euro now has significant snow in the far W Carolinas to NE GA and far E TN with the 1/2” line almost down to an Athens to Cumming line in GA! Look at these temps, which are as cold as 35 between Athens and Atlanta:
View attachment 18077View attachment 18078

Now that we're within 5 days, it is time to consider the real possibility that something very special may affect some of the SE US next Mon-Tue as this doesn't seem to be going away on the models. The chasing might end up being for snow!
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Given the euro is somewhat on board makes me think there is a slight chance at least. And this is a few days of runs too. It would be nice to see at least something if so.
 
I just looked at the EPS members and I'd say about 40% to 50% support some kind of flakes with about 4 or 5 members being a decent snow. The control and main run look almost identical too. The GEFS has only the mountains for any snow.
 
Rain Cold said:
Haha, lol, lolz, bwahaha, etc.:

View attachment 18082
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I have no idea why this joke of a model is not pulled from public access until they can correct the issues. Can't wait for those pictures to start circulating on social media

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12Z GFS does give some snow part of NC mtns. Very close call some areas of SE outside mtns. Some of N GA outside of mtns has rain with 30s. Big coastal snow New England.
 
I really don’t want a storm right now, why does this have to happen, I know it has snowed in April before but cmon I’m just ready for nice warm days at this point, I don’t care if I see 1 inch of snow from this event, wheres summer at when you need it
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I really don’t want a storm right now, why does this have to happen, I know it has snowed in April before but cmon I’m just ready for nice warm days at this point, I don’t care if I see 1 inch of snow from this event, wheres summer at when you need it
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I haven't seen any this year so at this point I'm all for it if there is support.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I really don’t want a storm right now, why does this have to happen, I know it has snowed in April before but cmon I’m just ready for nice warm days at this point, I don’t care if I see 1 inch of snow from this event, wheres summer at when you need it
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Based on trends this winter, I think you’re safe! One day of 50s and rain, you’ll be ok
 
12Z FV3 ? along with 2 meter and 850 temps and radar as of hour 108: it has an area in E GA/SC in the 32-34 range but its cold bias is very likely making it too cold and 850s are +2 or higher meaning too warm for snow though IP could occur with +2 850. Meanwhile, the aforementioned ICON, which isn’t cold biased, has the CAE-AUG corridor as cold as 34 with heavy rain at hours 120-3. That makes me wonder a bit about the possibility for these very cold temps.
Back to those FV3 maps:
D73CD668-987C-4EBD-A3F2-CCA518F3DFFA.png981334AB-F7F7-4526-A3FF-8A918A2E86C7.pngADA91022-7214-4BF5-8393-3CD4CA884A00.pngFACCAD4F-C568-4C19-919D-ECCBC3F7E839.png
 
I'm hoping the GGEM pulls through.

Ain't nobody got time for the GFS and EURO's solution in April.
 
Well Euro is showing a very gulf happy low pressure .. much stronger than previous run let’s see if it can bring enough cold air down
 
One historical record has shown that snow has covered the ground in April once in Charleston. APR 16th 1849 and up to 6" fell in Columbia!!

April 5th 1849... 3" of snow fell in Columbia SC.
 

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no wonder the euro improved, blocking around Greenland improved which helped that PV lobe around Hudson Bay move south which should keep this coastal from trending to far north, it still could tho, anyways that’s a pretty nice AK ridge 0A44BEDF-0CC2-4ACF-98B9-9C4FD8BF3602.gif anyways reason there was more of the storm this run was due to a stronger trough axis and I’m pretty sure that faint SE ridge helped to amp this thing a bit
E917961A-F03F-4E2E-AE3A-A81BC9574154.gif
 
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