Webberweather53
Meteorologist
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Pattern April Chasing ???⛈⛈⛈
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
TXTornado
Member
Will that system still bring severe to the plains?
The 12Z GFS already dropped the snow because it is significantly warmer than the 6Z.
Still has the storm though Also the Fv3 has the storm and more wintry
If it was jan or feb I’d be interested but this ain’t happening, it will probably get warmer from here on out with future runs, if the storm happens (snow) I’m leaving this board, lol
But we all know the FV3 is very cold biased, a total joke, and its clown maps, themselves, are even more of a joke. I mean it has nearly all of SC getting accumulated wintry. That's laughable. Not gonna happen.
Nick you will get your storm one day. Stay after it
Brent
Member
there's always next winter
I
gosh darn I know :/ ... hoping for a two foot hail storm this summer!
pcbjr
Member
Given what April can be like sometimes, the mid-range CPC is worth a smile ... so here's sharing one ... 
agree , yesterday areas in GA saw more hail then the amount of snow they saw this past winter, why can’t that happen to us ? Maybe we can get one of those weird cold pockets aloft this summer with pulse convection and let buckets of pea size hail come down
Cad Wedge NC
Member
It's hard to believe that even places like Charlotte has had accumulating snow as late as April the 20th.
Atlanta had 1.5" on 4/25/1910, which to me is about the most amazing wx event of any kind in Atlanta history. In GA, not only was there a T down to Columbus and Macon, there was a T all the way down at Americus, which is 50 miles further south and otherwise hasn't had even just a T of snow any later than 3/25! Lows on 4/26 got down into the 30s well down into FL like at Ocala! Lake City got down to 33!
Looks like 00z models coming in ... interesting
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Very funny GFS. Very funny. Can we drop the BS snow and just move on? Apparently not. I shouldn't be seeing soundings like this that are close to snow in late March.
tennessee storm
Member
Agree 100 percent ... move on ... winter is over... even if you could call it that... my eyes on bigger fish now down the road ....
12Z GFS coastal chilly rainstorm part 2. Yes, this actually is a 2nd wave of a 2 parter on the run. Going to be fun to track. Although I prefer dry, many coastal areas actually could use rain as it has been dry overall.
Edit: (virtually) no wintry south of VA on this run per my source's maps. This is a pure rainstorm for the SE on this run.
Edit: (virtually) no wintry south of VA on this run per my source's maps. This is a pure rainstorm for the SE on this run.
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What I hate to see, more sinus burning cool weather
TXTornado
Member
Hearing early April severe threat dissipating?
tennessee storm
Member
Pushed back tad... looks like end first week going mid April start get negative pna going. ... help the pattern to be more condusuve for severe weather
TXTornado
Member
I can’t wait til severe season starts and I don’t have to hear about snow
Facts, I’ve had enough of these let downs And cold rains, they just make a miserable day, sunny and 70 is way better and plus I’m ready to plant some stuff without worrying about anything freezing
NoSnowATL
Member
Brent
Member
Lol the eps has snow here
Like i wanted snow in the winter not April
Like i wanted snow in the winter not April
We’ve done it 2 times, why not do it again, this time I’m actually hoping it trends farther SE to give us a nice 55-60 degree day like today 
pcbjr
Member
... at this point? When is it not?
NoSnowATL
Member
Lmao, the 18Z FV3 has Columbus and Macon at only 35-6 (35 Below normal) with rain at 2PM on 4/2 (with 850s of +3 to +4 C) thanks to a combo of a departing very strong wedge, cold upper disturbance, and a coastal low along with the help of a strong cold bias:
Brent
Member
fake news isn't just on TV and news sites anymore
From GSP:
"A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM THE
EAST PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE
MONDAY OR TUESDAY AND INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG OR JUST OFF OF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS FEATURE. THE 00Z EC AND 12Z CMC
KEEP THE BEST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS AND HENCE PRECIPITATION TO THE
SOUTH OF THE REGION BEFORE KICKING THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW OUT TO
SEA. MEANWHILE THE GFS/FV3 HAVE THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH
AND EVEN TURNING UP THE COAST (GFS ESPECIALLY) WHICH WOULD SUPPORT
AT LEAST SOME PRECIPITATION INTO THE FA. HAVE SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE
IN THE GUIDANCE FOR NOW WITH ONLY LOW END POPS PRESENTED AT THIS
TIME. WITH CAD IN PLACE AT LEAST TO BEGIN WITH, WINTRY PRECIP IS
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY A HIGHER ELEVATIONS, SHOULD THE COASTAL LOW
THROW MOISTURE BACK INTO OUR REGION. CURRENT FORECAST HAS HIGHS IN
THE 50S, BUT COULD EASILY BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER IF SOMETHING CLOSE
TO THE GFS VERIFIES."
------------------------------------------------------
My comment: While it would be extraordinary, getting wintry precip on April 2nd outside of the mtns (especially in the Carolinas/TN and N GA/AL) would be far from impossible considering that on 4/25/1910 there was a trace of snow as far south as Americus, GA, and ATL had 1.5"...this on the 25th or 23 days later.
"A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM THE
EAST PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE
MONDAY OR TUESDAY AND INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG OR JUST OFF OF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS FEATURE. THE 00Z EC AND 12Z CMC
KEEP THE BEST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS AND HENCE PRECIPITATION TO THE
SOUTH OF THE REGION BEFORE KICKING THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW OUT TO
SEA. MEANWHILE THE GFS/FV3 HAVE THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH
AND EVEN TURNING UP THE COAST (GFS ESPECIALLY) WHICH WOULD SUPPORT
AT LEAST SOME PRECIPITATION INTO THE FA. HAVE SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE
IN THE GUIDANCE FOR NOW WITH ONLY LOW END POPS PRESENTED AT THIS
TIME. WITH CAD IN PLACE AT LEAST TO BEGIN WITH, WINTRY PRECIP IS
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY A HIGHER ELEVATIONS, SHOULD THE COASTAL LOW
THROW MOISTURE BACK INTO OUR REGION. CURRENT FORECAST HAS HIGHS IN
THE 50S, BUT COULD EASILY BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER IF SOMETHING CLOSE
TO THE GFS VERIFIES."
------------------------------------------------------
My comment: While it would be extraordinary, getting wintry precip on April 2nd outside of the mtns (especially in the Carolinas/TN and N GA/AL) would be far from impossible considering that on 4/25/1910 there was a trace of snow as far south as Americus, GA, and ATL had 1.5"...this on the 25th or 23 days later.
Nomanslandva
Member
I present to you member 23 from the EPS. There are a number of members that support a chance of wintery something south of VA and this is inside day 7 so if it is going to go poof, its now or never. Most are very light but this needs to be saved.
Lmaoo, you see it ?
snowlover91
Member
So close...
