We are close enough to start up this thread for April. This is our peak month for severe weather for the Southeast. Post Away....⛈⛈⛈⛈
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Pattern April Chasing ???⛈⛈⛈
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Snowflowxxl
Member
It gone storm, it gone storm bad!
Near Albuquerque, was very transient but quite impressive, with dew points in the 40s !
I thought May was peak month for tornadoes?
Not for the Southeast. Tornadoes season starts to wind down after first week or May for the It might be for the Central Plains and up north states like Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, etc.
Yep, this time of the year/april we have the best strong shear/instability overlap, that moves north as time goes on and we’re just stuck with pulse storms in the summer, which are my favorite !
Brent
Member
Even out here where May is still a big month April edges it out and in Alabama April is most definitely the peak
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I wouldn’t chase these storms in Texas...... lol
Dang
RollTide18
Member
@Myfrotho704_ same, pulse storms are my favorite, nothing like seeing a storm 60 miles away on a clear summer day.
pcbjr
Member
So, is this thread for April, or for April severe? Or ...
For April itself. But we can talk about severe weather in here. Once a severe threat gets closer let’s day within 5-7 days we can open specific date thread for it.
pcbjr
Member
Thanks much for the clarification ... just wasn't sure where to go with/for "normal" April ...
Nothing around here is never normal. Haha haha ???Thanks much for the clarification ... just wasn't sure where to go with/for "normal" April ...
pcbjr
Member
Dude, in this instance, you're simultaneously preaching to the priest, the choir and the penitent in the confessional ...
(but I do my very best in the sinner's box)
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It’s far out but I guess something to watch, looks like the plains are gonna deal with there first legit setup late next week
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Ok, can we please stop with these wannabe day 7+ snow threats which don't verify, it's April...
Thanks.
Thanks.
It is still another coastal chilly rainstorm with 40s for the Gulf coast and SE coast. Also, overall, April 1-4 looks much colder than normal for the SE US on this 12Z Euro just as it did on the 12Z GFS. Bring it on though I certainly don't trust it won't verify warmer.
Look for it to trend NW from here. Regardless, it isn't a snow threat on the 12Z run.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Verbatim it's actually marginally cool enough to support something well inland of the SE US coast because temps are in the middle 30s over central NC but I really don't feel like arguing about it atm esp since it isn't really a threat to begin w/.
It’ll be a severe weather threat by Wednesday night with our luck we’ve had so far this year
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We really haven't even been that lucky thus far this year (granted it's still late March-early Apr), most of our "threats" instead of trending far enough NW for severe have for the most part went far enough to our NW to become cold rain. I'm tired of it lol
GFS is sleety and freezing rain for Wilkes on April Fools today. Many other areas included too intially.
FV3 clown map destroys south-east Georgia and far southern South Carolina. What a joke of a model. I will disappear forever if that solution verifies.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
I hope it doesn't verify. This place will not go on without you.
This is a severe wx thread, lol, not mountain sleet/ZR
pcbjr
Member
Hell, and I thought it was a pollen thread and Jon could give us all a good OTC Rx
Speaking of pollen, I think that’s why my left eye is completely swollen, I can barely see what I’m typing with my left eye, and also looks like a possible multi severe weather day in the plains coming up with large hail/damaging winds the main threats, wind energy and sfc moisture look meh, soundings on the NAM show inverted Vs/high cloud bases Thursday evening in OK and just enough wind energy for a few LP supercells but things look like they struggle to initiate
Nomanslandva
Member
It would be fun to get one wrapped up coastal low this winter er uhh spring. Happy hour GFS has a low going up into TN/KY which has been the thing this year. So book another cutter with wedgie rain.
Lmao, the very cold biased FV3 has ZR all the way down at Statesboro, GA, on April 1! April Fools? No, it is there but it won’t happen. It also has the coldest 2PM temp in the country there outside of the NE US with 32!! What a joke!
Lol, thanks to a very strong wedge, the not cold biased 0Z GFS has ZR in some of the CAD regions and mid to upper 30s at 2PM at Athens on April Fools Day....no that’s not April Fools as it is really there! That’s only some 30 F colder than normal lol. We might have the most interesting April Fools day in wx in a very long time.
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Brent
Member
Well this would be something lol not many days in the 40s ever in April here
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Nononononononono
Keep this warmth consistent, I blame constantly changing weather (warm>cold>warm) for my headaches
Nowww we’re talking, strong SE ridge, why do I feel like it’s gonna actually happen and then it won’t back down giving us Crazy hot weather ? And then the beginning of the MCS train to our west/NW, this pattern would actually support a free flow of MCS to our west/NW, lol, bring on summer ! 
FWIW any trend west on the GFS/CMS would bring a severe winter storm for the foothills and mountains. Likely heavy wet snow and historic for April. Luckily it’s not there but if anyone is overdue it’s me
Euro is too warm (albeit way below average) me thinks the intial 20 degree below average temps might just work in the mountains if the precip trends west...or at least support a wintry sleety onset before a cold rain. Models never handle the cold dry air near the surface on this side of the mountain chain well. Lot of ifs usually means nothing significant.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Here's what I think. It's all going to be 40s and rain for the mountains and 50s to 60s elsewhere and rain. No way 2 data sets that changed dramatically verify.