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Pattern July Fries

Yeah anything in the blue is about 1.5 and up... Nice start for you too.
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Thanks. Tomorrow, looks like shear will be a touch better, so we could have at least some organization
Forecast is dry through Tuesday! This big wet is amazing!:mad:
What are you doing up at 4 AM?!
 
Nah. I think either October or November is below normal. Maybe both

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Long as D-M are below, I’m good.
 
Nah. I think either October or November is below normal. Maybe both

Another 1880, 1885, or 1976 ftw? Those were each weak El Nino with cooler than average Oct and Nov. Actually, I haven't found a correlation of weak Nino to cool Octs but I have found a halfway decent correllation of that to cool Novs. And will we end up with a weak Nino? I think good chance for weak to low end moderate for the upcoming winter as of now.
 
BB80BB9E-B75B-4768-8A5E-08840BB17EFF.png Well hello dare......
 
Nobody better want a cold October, those usually don’t end well for good and snowy SE winters, if I recall!
Or that big Nor’easter in October. Keep those away. FallsLake will keep us posted on that.
 
Another 1880, 1885, or 1976 ftw? Those were each weak El Nino with cooler than average Oct and Nov. Actually, I haven't found a correlation of weak Nino to cool Octs but I have found a halfway decent correllation of that to cool Novs. And will we end up with a weak Nino? I think good chance for weak to low end moderate for the upcoming winter as of now.
You know from just taking a quick glance so far at winter im not seeing a ton of negative. I think a weak Nino is a good bet but its still relatively early

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Looking for a model that raises some modicum of winter hope (and this is not intended, at all, as discussion or crystal ball gazing or any semblance of personal thoughts (and it certainly is not July weather but is posted here in response to other recently related posts)) ... so... here is one that most should like (though not supported by many other models) ... in other words, just for kicks on a miserably humid and hot July Sunday afternoon ...

temp2.glob.DJF2019.1jul2018.gif
 
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You know from just taking a quick glance so far at winter im not seeing a ton of negative. I think a weak Nino is a good bet but its still relatively early

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Christmas in July

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