GFS ramping Irma up much quicker this run
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
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Lets get that in the Wiki!
Storm #2 of 1915 was like the 1947 storm N of 14N (14.1N) at 30W and it also made it to the CONUS (TX):
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1915/2/track.gif
Storm #6 of 1938, which was at 14.7N, 30W, also hit the CONUS (big one that hit NE US):
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1938/6/track.gif
Gloria of 1985, which grazed NC and then hit the NE US, was also at 14.7N, 30W:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1985/GLORIA/track.gif
Fran of 1996 was at 14.1N, 30W:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1996/FRAN/track.gif
All of these, including 1893 and 1947, hit the US as a major except for Gloria.
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1915/2/track.gif
Storm #6 of 1938, which was at 14.7N, 30W, also hit the CONUS (big one that hit NE US):
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1938/6/track.gif
Gloria of 1985, which grazed NC and then hit the NE US, was also at 14.7N, 30W:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1985/GLORIA/track.gif
Fran of 1996 was at 14.1N, 30W:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1996/FRAN/track.gif
All of these, including 1893 and 1947, hit the US as a major except for Gloria.
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pcbjr
Member
Turns out the creator of that site is a meteorologist at the NHC.
That's always a plus Lol
I think GFS still goes ots but it may get a little closer this run, the atlantic ridge looks a tad more west and the trough a little slower
GFS going bonkers with the gulf coast system (see other thread) and Irma
And the 12Z GFS has that Gulf coast storm moving eastward. There's little chance that Irma would make it to the SE US with that happening.
No doubt the trough is doing it's job here....
Should make for a heckuva collision off the EC right...
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Superstorm? Storm of the Century kind of stuff!Should make for a heckuva collision off the EC right...
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WeatherWatch
Member
Almost but not quite, Irma gets sucked up between the ridge and trough. Still a long ways out. Also, it's going to depend on the wave that may come about next week in the GOM.Should make for a heckuva collision off the EC right...
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Per GFS this run Irma bottoms out at 903 mb just south of Bermuda
Hell I don't know I'm just a metwannabe
BHS1975
Member
Euro has a cut off low which would pull it in.
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You know speaking of that, to me, the GFS this run was much deeper with the trough and looked as if it tried to cutoff almost trended towards the Euro.... that's something to watch in the coming days no doubt
6z GFS
12z GFS
0z Euro
GEFS..... doesn't exactly quell concerns
Euro speeding things up a little and possibly threatening the Islands Tuesday.... also its moving due west at this hour
Uh oh...
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