• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Jose

Storm5 said:
Omgd JBs Cone is so wide lol
7a384c2201b3eb049b6451d121cfe192.jpg


Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

LMBO!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
12z eps still favors ots . I didn't realize how close this was to a possible or threat 5-7 days
74f2686227fe742d729fda89cd9c8437.jpg


Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
12z eps still favors ots . I didn't realize how close this was to a possible or threat 5-7 days
74f2686227fe742d729fda89cd9c8437.jpg


Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
You tried to wishcast Irma out to sea!? How'd that work out ? ;)
 
Tarheel1 said:
You tried to wishcast Irma out to sea!? How'd that work out ? ;)
Click to expand...
Lol what ??? I just posted the 12z eps. I didn't say it was going OTS. Anyone who wants a direct hit is an idiot and I'll never understand why some do. This is a different setup vs irma and has a much shorter window . It's within 5-7 days. That's the first of next week. Obviously it can change see Irma

Speaking of wishcssting , lots of it ongoing with this storm .... see JB

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
 
12z UKMET....
~935 hPa category 4 hurricane into Florida...
GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif

HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.2N 69.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 11.09.2017 0 25.2N 69.6W 969 70
0000UTC 12.09.2017 12 26.9N 70.1W 968 70
1200UTC 12.09.2017 24 27.4N 69.3W 957 75
0000UTC 13.09.2017 36 26.7N 67.7W 954 76
1200UTC 13.09.2017 48 25.5N 67.0W 953 78
0000UTC 14.09.2017 60 24.3N 67.1W 952 78
1200UTC 14.09.2017 72 23.6N 68.4W 945 85
0000UTC 15.09.2017 84 23.4N 70.4W 947 85
1200UTC 15.09.2017 96 23.6N 72.9W 940 87
0000UTC 16.09.2017 108 24.2N 75.5W 941 85
1200UTC 16.09.2017 120 25.0N 77.7W 933 89
0000UTC 17.09.2017 132 26.1N 79.2W 937 85
1200UTC 17.09.2017 144 27.4N 80.4W 936 90
 
Webberweather53 said:
12z UKMET....
~935 hPa category 4 hurricane into Florida...
View attachment 1199

HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.2N 69.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 11.09.2017 0 25.2N 69.6W 969 70
0000UTC 12.09.2017 12 26.9N 70.1W 968 70
1200UTC 12.09.2017 24 27.4N 69.3W 957 75
0000UTC 13.09.2017 36 26.7N 67.7W 954 76
1200UTC 13.09.2017 48 25.5N 67.0W 953 78
0000UTC 14.09.2017 60 24.3N 67.1W 952 78
1200UTC 14.09.2017 72 23.6N 68.4W 945 85
0000UTC 15.09.2017 84 23.4N 70.4W 947 85
1200UTC 15.09.2017 96 23.6N 72.9W 940 87
0000UTC 16.09.2017 108 24.2N 75.5W 941 85
1200UTC 16.09.2017 120 25.0N 77.7W 933 89
0000UTC 17.09.2017 132 26.1N 79.2W 937 85
1200UTC 17.09.2017 144 27.4N 80.4W 936 90
Click to expand...
Webb, I love ya man, but for God's sake --- I'm paying chain saw folks right now; can we have one quiet night ... :confused:
 
With that ridge, it'll go west for awhile atleast!
 
This short term northeast trend in the GFS actually appears to be attributable to run-run speed differences, as we saw with Irma, the GFS looks too fast with Jose
 
We better hope this very weak shortwave trough over NYC trends stronger and is somehow able to break the ridge down enough to pick up Jose and steer it east of Jose because if it doesn't pick it up, we are gonna be in trouble... This longwave pattern with a trough over the Great Basin and ridge over southern Canada and New England favors a landfall on the US, just need to hope this chink in the ridge's armor per say remains prevalent enough, but in these cases we usually trend towards a stronger subtropical ridge :/
IMG_0217.PNG
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top