Tropical Hurricane Gert

[ForsythSnow]

It appears from just the eyeball test that the Euro MAY win this model war once again. Only time will tell though


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Or just cancel itself out because it was persistent on a storm too for awhile. In fact, it had a tropical storm by tomorrow on earlier runs.

 

[whatalife]

Or just cancel itself out because it was persistent on a storm too for awhile. In fact, it had a tropical storm by tomorrow on earlier runs.

Or it was just quicker to adjust itself to the right solution. In fantasyland just about every model will be wrong.


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[Storm5]

Webber posted the best gif this week about people watching the gfs . I need him to post it here. Its spot on in the weather community

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[Storm5]

Looking rather elongated this morning. Good luck getting development with this look. The window for consolidation is closing fast as it looks like its about to pick up its forward speed

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[Webberweather53]

Webber posted the best gif this week about people watching the gfs . I need him to post it here. Its spot on in the weather community

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You mean this?
"Everyone looking for Atlantic TCs on the GFS following this CCKW passage be like..."

 

[WeatherWatch]

Looking rather elongated this morning. Good luck getting development with this look. The window for consolidation is closing fast as it looks like its about to pick up its forward speed

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Also, there's dry, dusty air to the north and west.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/wv-l.jpg

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[Storm5]

You mean this?
"Everyone looking for Atlantic TCs on the GFS following this CCKW passage be like..."

This is so great

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[Webberweather53]

Levi Cowan's update on 99L and 90L

 

[whatalife]

Levi Cowan's update on 99L and 90L

Thanks for the post. Will be interesting to see what becomes of 99L.


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[Webberweather53]

Thanks for the post. Will be interesting to see what becomes of 99L.


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Yeah it will be! Even if nothing comes of it in the eastern Atlantic, it could still come back to haunt us if conditions warrant in the southwestern Atlantic and/or Gulf of Mexico...

 

[Arcc]

Looking rather elongated this morning. Good luck getting development with this look. The window for consolidation is closing fast as it looks like its about to pick up its forward speed

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That actually doesn't look that bad. Voticity pooling on the SE side.

 

[Tarheel1]

Also, there's dry, dusty air to the north and west.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/wv-l.jpg

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It's coming from mainland USA! SD's backyard dustbowl!

 

[WeatherWatch]

8PM update from NHC
The tropical wave now has dropped at a lower percentage of development.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

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[SD]

Hmm

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[Storm5]

Hmm

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.

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[SD]

.

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I wasn't claiming a hurricane hit just saying the moisture envelope might make a pass at the region which you can see in the last image. Im personally not sold on development and think if it does occur it'll be north of the islands but that's fairly unusual

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[Meteorologist1999]

0Z and 6z Model Suite actually trended toward 99L off the Southeast Coast Again, and a more of a strengthening storm then previous runs.. Keep and Eye Out Y'all 99L might don't be dead after all!!

 

[Webberweather53]

Yeah, don't go to sleep on 99L in the southeastern US... Big AEWs like this don't just suddenly die in the central Atlantic especially if conditions warrant further west (as we've seen time and time again the past several years)

 

[Webberweather53]

EPS getting more enthused about the prospects of 99L attempting to redevelop in the Bahamas or off the SE US coast with every run... We'll see if this continues...

 

[Cary_Snow95]