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Wintry Midsouth Winter Storm January 12th-13th

Yeah, like ground temps won't be an issue on a borderline event. GFS looks a little N
Lol we just had a week straight where the impact areas for this system didn't get above 40 for over week. Ground temps wont be an issue

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Temps before the Major 94 Ice Storm around these parts was around 70.
We had 60s for over a week straight before the snow in early December. All we we heard was ground temps will limit accumulation. That played out well....

Ground temp argument is so overplayed

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We had 60s for over a week straight before the snow in early December. All we we heard was ground temps will limit accumulation. That played out well....

Ground temp argument is so overplayed

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Well here in theTriad, the snow took a long time to stick in early December and never did stick much on the roads. That was more likely due to rates though than ground temps I suspect
 
As I mentioned last night looking at the 500mb level was to far E with the track of the LP and should be farther W and that is what we have seen on today's runs.

For those not in the wintry precip now vs what has been modeled last 24-48 hours what is needed s/w to close off (be stronger) and at the least go neutral to negative creating its own cold core and that puts the people further south in play...

All that said looks like W TN, N MS and maybe xtreme NW AL looking good... Nashville area I would be kinda concerned in regards to wintry precip and most of N AL. Yes could see some SN but I would not expect much unless like mentioned storm really deepens.

Edit I will try draw up an outlined area tonight when at home...i think most like to look at a map vs rambling on LoL

... Carry on


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i knew it wasnt good being in the bullseye 3 days out. this system is headed I40 north
Snow just to my north, already had snow just to our south, usually sums up winter here. Alway just to the the north or just to the south, that 15 inch bulls eye for both systems was just a cruel joke. Lol
 
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