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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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SD said:
Lol thunderstorms. Here's the real picture of summer: 100 degrees, 75 degree dewpoint, swamp ass, no rain, relentless bugs, the sun is 24 feet away, drought, more drought, continued drought.
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Nice nighttime flathead/channel cat fishing /bass fishing, (winter is good, but you’ll freeze your a** off and there typically more sluggish during winter) the beach, at least seeing more thunderstorms then the amount of snow you see in 10 years, and not to mention overall summer is a more happier time then dead Winter
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Nice nighttime flathead/channel cat fishing /bass fishing, (winter is good, but you’ll freeze your a** off and there typically more sluggish during winter) the beach, at least seeing more thunderstorms then the amount of snow you see in 10 years, and not to mention overall summer is a more happier time then dead Winter
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I'm fine with summer when highs are 86-92 this 95+ crap blows and seems to be getting more and more frequent.
 
KyloG said:
A win for me in Feb would be if I don't have to run my AC at nights more than 7 nights until March. That to me would be like getting a 10" snow storm. We have to make new goals in our new winters.



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63 on my birthday might take the day off and hit the golf course. That 63 is probably too low, I could see low 70s Monday or Tuesday
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
How in deeee f*cckkk is it to so easy to get warmth yet so hard to get things our way and cold our way
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Its easy we live in the south. I’ve had multiple years just as bad as this and right when I think it don’t snow as much anymore I end up with incredible winters such as 2015,2016 and 2018. 2017 and 2019 sucked and so far this year has stunk but it ain’t over til March 15th. It is not uncommon to have multiple cruddy winters in the south as after all we do live in the south and it’s completely normal. We are in the midst of a bad multi year pattern but we will eventually go into a good multi year pattern at some point. Also keep in mind some winters have been horrible snow wise even in a cooler pattern and that’s simply because it doesn’t like snowing this far south. I saw someone mention it would take pulling a rabbit out of a hat to get snow this year. The truth is it always takes pulling a rabbit out of a hat to get snow anytime no matter the year in the south.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Is it safe to say we go from summer straight to winter now? We go from 95/75 beginning of October to 60/35 by mid October and stay right there until April.
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No, winter happens when you get that quick shot of cold air in Mid November with lows in the teens. Then we warm back up to spring sometime in December.
 
I don’t know why you guys are “waiting” on the warmth..I’m out here target shooting in basketball shorts..if I never knew what snow was and didn’t have such a nostalgic connection to it I would think you guys were crazy. But in the end, I get it.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I don’t know why you guys are “waiting” on the warmth..I’m out here target shooting in basketball shorts..if I never knew what snow was and didn’t have such a nostalgic connection to it I would think you guys were crazy. But in the end, I get it.
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Aim for the PV maybe you can change winter
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I’m nervous. But if it turns out to be chilly and dry I think I’m making the trip anyway. Seeing that spring kicks in next week. This may be the last shot at a decent mountain weekend
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Im very nervous, especially pulling back to back weekends and this past weekend being a heart breaker with elevations over 4k getting 3-4 inches of snow as we were leaving. I would be tickled to death to just see a nice 1-3 inch event, but if one of those big time members panned out, then the wife and I may have a baby on the way in 9 months. I am flipping out to be honest, if I get blanked then I wont be feeling too well. We need some more positive trends to happen, but at least there are many outcomes on the table. I would rather still have big dog members showing than none at all obviously.

Man, the 18z ICON is a great track with lots of moisture, but we need just a little cooler surface temps. I will be holding onto this one until the very last second.

ICON also appears to have the same ULL feature that the CMC showed earlier...

I am starting to feel like that may be more what we rely on for snow in our areas, but if both could produce it would be nice.
 
I have learned to really pay attention to the PV this year. Kudos to Cohen this year. I've thought it was just a piece of the puzzle. But this year has proven that you're in trouble with a raging positve AO and theres no way around that for the se. We did get that pattern change around the 20th. The 500mb is actually good and looks to be for the next week or so. That's why we have beautiful storm tracks. But when your temps this Saturday morning are 40 degrees and places in Manitoba are only 10 degrees colder it kind of puts into perspective how important it is to get PV disruption.
 
Parker said:
Im very nervous, especially pulling back to back weekends and this past weekend being a heart breaker with elevations over 4k getting 3-4 inches of snow as we were leaving. I would be tickled to death to just see a nice 1-3 inch event, but if one of those big time members panned out, then the wife and I may have a baby on the way in 9 months. I am flipping out to be honest, if I get blanked then I wont be feeling too well. We need some more positive trends to happen, but at least there are many outcomes on the table. I would rather still have big dog members showing than none at all obviously.

Man, the 18z ICON is a great track with lots of moisture, but we need just a little cooler surface temps. I will be holding onto this one until the very last second.
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I would take 1-3 now even if that meant taking the big totals totally off the table. I’m thinking Saturday, Sunday. I might cancel the Friday booking tomorrow. 24 more hours before I have to make the call ??‍?
 
SD said:
63 on my birthday might take the day off and hit the golf course. That 63 is probably too low, I could see low 70s Monday or Tuesday
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Its not trending colder Mon-Wed...that's for sure. I could see AC coming on Mon-Wed nights, it has to be atleast 70F in my house at night to sleep.

Run to run changes for Mon-Wed afternoon.

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NoSnowATL said:
Yes ATL needs a true Miller A. The guys up north can score multiple ways we can’t. So Miller A or a crazy good front is my thing.


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Idk, on the other side of the coin we run the risk of WAA. We don’t have to really worry about that with an overrunning event. I rather have that than a Miller A setup. Plus the duration is usually a lot longer.
 
True story, and maybe my best post to date:

Driving to a job site earlier today, this little critter ran in front of my car and into the sun kissed green pasture to my left. I thought to myself, “That’s a Beaver.” But as I looked closer I noticed he didn’t have a beaver tail..It was a Woodchuck. Also known as a Groundhog. Now guys/gals if that doesn’t make you want to put the sled in storage and throw in the towel I’m not sure what will. I’ve never seen one in the wild before. This is not happenstance. 5C0A3FE7-3AB6-4F2F-84B3-8AC9891CBFFC.jpeg
 
We should have a thread called "remember the time....". You know, when the deep south had major ice storms that would become snowstorms when it entered the Carolinas and mid atlantic. Texas all the way to Georgia would get in on the action. All the major news outlets would cover it. The weather channel would air every detail about it. Youd see people in northern Miss and Alabama falling to the ground when theyd try to walk outside. Then theyd say" look out those of you in Upstate SC and NC, it appears this is going to cause major problems as this storm system exits the gulf and moves to the atlantic." Wed get 6 to 10 inches. Those winters....I remember the time!!!
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
True story, and maybe my best post to date:

Driving to a job site earlier today, this little critter ran in front of my car and into the sun kissed green pasture to my left. I thought to myself, “That’s a Beaver.” But as I looked closer I noticed he didn’t have a beaver tail..It was a Woodchuck. Also known as a Groundhog. Now guys/gals if that doesn’t make you want to put the sled in storage and throw in the towel I’m not sure what will. I’ve never seen one in the wild before. This is not happenstance. View attachment 32450
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I haven't seen a robin yet so hanging on to my towel.
 
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Have just about 0 interest in cold happening in March (so that's probably going to mean that's when we see cold), in fact, don't think it's even going to help even south of I-40 at the most if we're honest. Once we bust out on early February, stick a fork in winter.

Would LOVE to have to chomp on crow, but I doubt it. Would rather have similar days to today then the likely countless low 50s or mid 40s gray days if what I think is possible were to transpire. Low 60s in brilliant sunshine.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Have just about 0 interest in cold happening in March (so that's probably going to mean that's when we see cold), in fact, don't think it's even going to help even south of I-40 at the most if we're honest. Once we bust out on early February, stick a fork in winter.

Would LOVE to have to chomp on crow, but I doubt it. Would rather have similar days to today then the likely countless low 50s or mid 40s gray days if what I think is possible were to transpire. Low 60s in brilliant sunshine.
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I'm not a big fan of March snow either. But the cold bottled up at the pole may provide colder air than usual for march if it gets directed this way. This base state pattern has to start moving as we head into March.
 
I’m gonna give myself till February 14th before I throw in the towel. Chris justice said in his winter forecast we have above average snowfall. Well I always liked his accuracy but this one he may bust on big time. I wonder what type of severe weather season we will see?


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