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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Cad Wedge NC said:
You do realize that the Euro has the best verification scores of any other global model.... That's why they call it the King. Sometimes it is out-to-lunch, but in a stable pattern, it is hard to bet against it.
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Yep he’s right. Gfs is a hot mess and is not reliable at all. Once the Euro shows a storm it needs to be watched


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Jessy89 said:
Yep he’s right. Gfs is a hot mess and is not reliable at all. Once the Euro shows a storm it needs to be watched


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And it hasn't shown one and it won't for the next 2 weeks. Zonal and 50s is just as much of a shutout pattern as a torch!
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
No two ways about it though, this is rough and will be hard to overcome. Lots of places with much better seasonal snow averages are still due their share. It’s just hard to believe we’re going to get ours this year given the circumstances View attachment 31491
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I wouldn't sweat the next couple of weeks as make it or break it. Late Feb and early to mid March could easily take care of that since that's when I'm leaning toward it finally turning mainly BN for an extended period. You won't see this on any model and the models have been crap, regardless. This is about analogs. Also, by then the MJO should finally be in a good position for a decent amount of time.
 
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