• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc Winter Weather Support Group

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Happy new years guys. I don’t know any of you personally but maybe one day. Great board. Been a lot of fun over the years. Let’s keep it going and ride the wave as long as we can.
Click to expand...
I know Griteater and Raincold! Both awesome dudes!
Happy New Years guys! Wishing you many big chair pics in the coming weeks!
 
th

It's Getting past my bedtime {10pm} but happy new year to a great weather team on this board lots of snow this year!!!:p:p
 
FFC's take:

the upper 30s to 40s, and enough cold air should be in place for
some snow in the mountains, if moisture makes it there. Enough
cold air may filter in to allow for some changeover to snow in
parts of north GA and even the metro, but not confident enough to
advertise this in the grids yet. This is the solution that -most-
guidance has settled on.

This is the part where I talk about the elephant in the room -
the NAM. NAM shows a good bit of moisture wrapping about the low
and making it`s way into northern GA. Trough diving in from the
north provides some extra upper level support for lift, and helps
drive a bit more colder air into the CWA. The NAM is also pretty
aggressive with some dynamic cooling and shows a nearly
isothermal, saturated layer all the up to from the surface to 700
mb across north GA on Wednesday night. This leads to some snow
production. 2 big questions in my mind with this solution - first,
will we actually see surface temps get that cold? Dynamic cooling
would require some decent rates. Otherwise, we are reliant on CAA
from the northwest, which would bring some drying air with it and
a whole new set of questions around how much precip reaches the
surface. Second, would a warm nose creep in with the isentropic
lift around the system that may be underdone within the NAM? This
could lead to a cold rain, especially given thermal profiles.
These questions are a big reason why I`m holding off on
advertising snow or a mix with this package. That said - there is
a chance given this solution, and it would mean a shot of winter
weather for some folks in north GA and the metro. Stay tuned.
 
WXinCanton said:
FFC's take:

the upper 30s to 40s, and enough cold air should be in place for
some snow in the mountains, if moisture makes it there. Enough
cold air may filter in to allow for some changeover to snow in
parts of north GA and even the metro, but not confident enough to
advertise this in the grids yet. This is the solution that -most-
guidance has settled on.

This is the part where I talk about the elephant in the room -
the NAM. NAM shows a good bit of moisture wrapping about the low
and making it`s way into northern GA. Trough diving in from the
north provides some extra upper level support for lift, and helps
drive a bit more colder air into the CWA. The NAM is also pretty
aggressive with some dynamic cooling and shows a nearly
isothermal, saturated layer all the up to from the surface to 700
mb across north GA on Wednesday night. This leads to some snow
production. 2 big questions in my mind with this solution - first,
will we actually see surface temps get that cold? Dynamic cooling
would require some decent rates. Otherwise, we are reliant on CAA
from the northwest, which would bring some drying air with it and
a whole new set of questions around how much precip reaches the
surface. Second, would a warm nose creep in with the isentropic
lift around the system that may be underdone within the NAM? This
could lead to a cold rain, especially given thermal profiles.
These questions are a big reason why I`m holding off on
advertising snow or a mix with this package. That said - there is
a chance given this solution, and it would mean a shot of winter
weather for some folks in north GA and the metro. Stay tuned.
Click to expand...
If this is what "most" solutions have settled on then why not put it in the grids?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top