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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

Brick Tamland said:
Sure is. Watching it now Hawkeye1. And I said I won't BELIEVE it's going to snow until it actually does. If you're going to be a troll and a jerk get the quote right.
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All your quotes are the same! Give or take a word or two!
 
Not going to get too deep into this stuff, but I'm seeing 4F 850mb for mby showing up on these things in the time-frame. That's a bit extreme, but dang dude. It's been a long time since I've seen anything like this.

We'll be seeing Winter weather in Northern FL if this keeps up!
 
Wilson said:
Not going to get too deep into this stuff, but I'm seeing 4F 850mb for mby showing up on these things in the time-frame. That's a bit extreme, but dang dude. It's been a long time since I've seen anything like this.
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Links or we don’t believe you
 
LickWx said:
Links or we don’t believe you
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First off, the data I am using is protected. Second off, it's extremely experimental. Third off, I posted some teasers earlier today.

IF things start to look good across the board, I'll post more of it closer to time. I'm looking for the Ensembles of our mainstream models to start really biting if there's truth to this.
 
Wilson said:
First off, the data I am using is protected. Second off, it's extremely experimental. Third off, I posted some teasers earlier today.

IF things start to look good across the board, I'll post more of it closer to time. I'm looking for the Ensembles of our mainstream models to start really biting if there's truth to this.
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Can’t keep teasing us that’s messed up
 
Breaking the PV off is part of it; which has shown recently on the mainstream models
 
Wilson said:
Not going to get too deep into this stuff, but I'm seeing 4F 850mb for mby showing up on these things in the time-frame. That's a bit extreme, but dang dude. It's been a long time since I've seen anything like this.

We'll be seeing Winter weather in Northern FL if this keeps up!
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What’s up with people creating their own models
 
Really, it's pointless looking at these patterns and indicies and model runs more than 5 days out. It's not like looking at all of it is going to make things happen the way we want. We're not going to make it snow looking at the model run 7 days from now. The weather patterns can look great for snow based on what happened in the past but that doesn't mean it's going to happen the same now. The weather is going to do what it's gling to do. We have no control over it. Knowing that it MIGHT snow a week from now is not going to change anything compared to if we saw the local weather man say it's going to snow the day before. It's just a distraction from life and it's really a waste of time and useless. peace-out-peace.gif
 
Brick Tamland said:
Really, it's pointless looking at these patterns and indicies and model runs more than 5 days out. It's not like looking at all of it is going to make things happen the way we want. We're not going to make it snow looking at the model run 7 days from now. The weather patterns can look great for snow based on what happened in the past but that doesn't mean it's going to happen the same now. The weather is going to do what it's gling to do. We have no control over it. Knowing that it MIGHT snow a week from now is not going to change anything compared to if we saw the local weather man say it's going to snow the day before. It's just a distraction from life and it's really a waste of time and useless. View attachment 145300
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Mark my words Brick. There will be multiple waves floating around, some wiffles some waffles, and some bangers. The banger is gonna come with a slight relax of the cold push.

TO BE FAIR; I would worry about too much cold for up your way but who knows.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Really, it's pointless looking at these patterns and indicies and model runs more than 5 days out. It's not like looking at all of it is going to make things happen the way we want. We're not going to make it snow looking at the model run 7 days from now. The weather patterns can look great for snow based on what happened in the past but that doesn't mean it's going to happen the same now. The weather is going to do what it's gling to do. We have no control over it. Knowing that it MIGHT snow a week from now is not going to change anything compared to if we saw the local weather man say it's going to snow the day before. It's just a distraction from life and it's really a waste of time and useless. View attachment 145300
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Ok
 
Brick Tamland said:
Really, it's pointless looking at these patterns and indicies and model runs more than 5 days out. It's not like looking at all of it is going to make things happen the way we want. We're not going to make it snow looking at the model run 7 days from now. The weather patterns can look great for snow based on what happened in the past but that doesn't mean it's going to happen the same now. The weather is going to do what it's gling to do. We have no control over it. Knowing that it MIGHT snow a week from now is not going to change anything compared to if we saw the local weather man say it's going to snow the day before. It's just a distraction from life and it's really a waste of time and useless. View attachment 145300
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You’ll be copy and pasting loops from American in 10 days time
 
CaryWx said:
We've got to get something under 10days folks. It's almost Feb 6th I'm not seeing anything of merit before Feb 16th
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Neither is anybody else. See GaWx post and everybody elses post in Feb thread. Nothing till after the 15th atleast! ? for you
 
Once upon a time, in the small town of Frostville, lived a man named Brick. Brick was not your ordinary man. He was known far and wide as the "Snow Weenie".

Brick had an unusual fascination with snow. He loved everything about it - the way it fell from the sky, the way it blanketed the town, and even the way it crunched under his boots. He would spend hours outside, building snowmen, creating intricate snow sculptures, and even hosting the annual Frostville Snowball Fight.

However, Brick's love for snow was not just for fun. He believed that snow had a magical quality to it. He thought it brought people together, made the world a little quieter, and turned the ordinary into something extraordinary.

One winter, Frostville experienced the biggest snowfall it had ever seen. While others were worried, Brick was ecstatic. He put on his warmest clothes and stepped outside, ready to embrace the snow. He spent the entire day helping his neighbors shovel their driveways, making sure everyone was safe, and of course, playing in the snow.

That day, Brick's love for snow brought the town together. People started helping each other, kids were playing outside, and there was laughter echoing through the streets of Frostville. Brick, the Snow Weenie, showed everyone that even in the coldest winters, there's warmth to be found.

And so, Brick's legend lived on, warming the hearts of Frostville's residents, one snowflake at a time.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Really, it's pointless looking at these patterns and indicies and model runs more than 5 days out. It's not like looking at all of it is going to make things happen the way we want. We're not going to make it snow looking at the model run 7 days from now. The weather patterns can look great for snow based on what happened in the past but that doesn't mean it's going to happen the same now. The weather is going to do what it's gling to do. We have no control over it. Knowing that it MIGHT snow a week from now is not going to change anything compared to if we saw the local weather man say it's going to snow the day before. It's just a distraction from life and it's really a waste of time and useless. View attachment 145300
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You do realize that a pattern that’s lead to winter storms in the southeast in the past doesn’t mean that they lead to a winter storm every time the pattern developed? This is a weather board. Of course to look at the pattern that looks to be developing, there is strong model and numerical agreement that a colder than average and potentially stormy pattern is developing and it’s not nearly 300 hours out
 
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The 18z GFS is awfully unimpressive as far as winter precip and cold goes. Never really goes much below freezing here for the whole run and turns warmer at the end.
 
JHS said:
The 18z GFS is awfully unimpressive as far as winter precip and cold goes. Never really goes much below freezing here for the whole run and turns warmer at the end.
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The 500mb charts on the 18z GFS and the 18z GEFS tell a much different story
 
JHS said:
The 18z GFS is awfully unimpressive as far as winter precip and cold goes. Never really goes much below freezing here for the whole run and turns warmer at the end.
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Stick to your drought Schtick!
We have enough anti- cold and snow goobers
 
J.C. said:
I can't wait to see the word verbatim, push all my chips in, and every man for himself every other post the next couple weeks.
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I have “if you tweak this just a little it’s a monster for the whole board” and “if that run went 6 hours further it was likely heading for glory” on my bingo card
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
I have “if you tweak this just a little it’s a monster for the whole board” and “if that run went 6 hours further it was likely heading for glory” on my bingo card
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What about “dig you pig” and “suppression”
 
KyloG said:
Reading last years Feb thread was interesting…not a single post the last week. But, on Feb 5th last year the EPS spit this out and now compare it to this year.

View attachment 145301View attachment 145302
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For those who say El Niño and La Niña don’t do what they used to, this is a great example of La Niña, and El Niño doing what they are suppose to do. Last year at this time sub-seasonally it was over for winter, just no hope at this time last year.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
For those who say El Niño and La Niña don’t do what they used to, this is a great example of La Niña, and El Niño doing what they are suppose to do. Last year at this time sub-seasonally it was over for winter, just no hope at this time last year.
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And next year at this time there will be no hope again.
 
This has been, pattern wise, typical of our “good” winters, sans the snow. First 3 weeks of Jan was a darn cold pattern and big winter storms for mid west, Deep South and MA. We then got the 2 week breather, now cold comes again.

But, can we get a good 2-3 multiple events affecting the east.

IMG_0616.gifIMG_0615.gif
 
EastmanGAWX said:
I vaguely remember the wasp story, but recall the ice throwing on the groung (I'm pretty sure that he posted pictures) and the crazy chaotic dialogue about dancing to make snow fall more. He was right up there with that guy who posted the room number of what hotel he was at whenever he went on a snow chase and the woman who keep asking if it was going to snow in Lavonia, GA!
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Omg. lol. coreytucker. Definitely a memorable one. Always stressing over his dew point.
 
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