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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

1300m said:
Is there some way we could have a pattern discussion only thread? I can't stand seeing all these stupid 300+ hr op runs cluttering up the good discussion that actually has merit.
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Normally I’d agree here but seeing that this is the last hoorah and the winter 2024 finish line is almost in site for the majority of this board I’d say post it all in the disco. But what do I know. I’m just a guy who can’t get any snow ☹️
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Normally I’d agree here but seeing that this is the last hoorah and the winter 2024 finish line is almost in site for the majority of this board I’d say post it all in the disco. But what do I know. I’m just a guy who can’t get any snow ☹️
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Just a squirrel trying to get a frozen nut
49206480-squirrel-sitting-by-tree-in-snow-and-eating-nuts-in-winter-park.jpg
 
1300m said:
I'm honestly saying this as someone who likes to go back and peruse old threads from years ago and trying to follow model progressions of favorable patterns and how things evolved as we reeled them in. Having dozens of posts of worthless garbage just makes that so much more difficult. While I think all of it is worthless beyond D10, I feel like at least having a rule not to post that junk beyond 300 hrs is reasonable.

I mean c'mon, this is just a joke.

View attachment 145235
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Well. I wanted the same but then told amwx might be a better site if I wanted that.

I like what @wow does at amwx, just didn't like some of the mod choices
 
1300m said:
I'm honestly saying this as someone who likes to go back and peruse old threads from years ago and trying to follow model progressions of favorable patterns and how things evolved as we reeled them in. Having dozens of posts of worthless garbage just makes that so much more difficult. While I think all of it is worthless beyond D10, I feel like at least having a rule not to post that junk beyond 300 hrs is reasonable.

I mean c'mon, this is just a joke.

View attachment 145235
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I’d say the only good thing about the LR GFS is having some key features. Over the last several runs, it has held steady with a big 50/50 low 23B6D1CE-1CA5-487F-8CA5-1A0FD06DE262.gif
 
Cody Rhodes deserves to finish his story. WWE has gotten ridiculous now days. Plus the Rock makes me sick, used to be a big fan but not anymore. I know I’ll get some dislikes for this.
 
accu35 said:
Cody Rhodes deserves to finish his story. WWE has gotten ridiculous now days. Plus the Rock makes me sick, used to be a big fan but not anymore. I know I’ll get some dislikes for this.
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Imagine naming yourself over a movie
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Peak szn. Gonna be a lot of heartbreak in a couple of weeks seeing that we’re all chasing the same nut View attachment 145239
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Just...so...far...away. Put aside its so hard to take seriously late February cold patterns. I'm going to choose to do so. But even if I do, we need to get past @1300m January issue of the pv being too far west. I don't think I could bear it if it hangs out at Hudson Bay.

And I've got to wait another week to seriously see what the answer will be. Lol. Snow is so hard.
 
Ok folks, I'm going to give you my thoughts about posting any map. The models are there for us to look at and analyze. Drawing an imaginary line and saying we shouldn't look, discuss, or post anything past that hour doesn't make sense to me. This is a weather discussion forum. We should be able to post a snow map and have a rational discussion on whether or not it is a feasible outcome. As long as the intention is good (not trolling or silly), I don't think there should be regulations on which maps are acceptable or not. An operational run can help show a possible outcome at the surface for the pattern. Plus, I like seeing that a pattern could support a snowstorm.

I don't see an issue with this. If the digital snow disappears the next run, so be it. However with this potential period of interest, we have seen several runs in a row that show a storm. Because it's documented through posts, it can help for historical research as well.

Anyway, I'm going to keep posting snow maps until someone tells me not to. Wasn't it a day or two ago that people were complaining that the operational models were not showing anything and that you wanted to see more storms showing up there instead of only the ensembles?
 
Guys. I'm working on some code.. and I decided to pull some experimental GFS and Canadian long-term ensembles and plot them.

They has Wintry weather for my back yard. Between the 18th-21st with quite the signal.

If I were North of I-20 this is wonderful news!
 
SnowNiner said:
How in the world do we get a February nino, split flow, active stj, tanking soi, and get dry in the SE? Come on man. ?
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It's not dry it's like .2-.4 BN. We average just short of 1 inch per 7 days this time of year so if it's .6-.8 and let's say that's all snow does it matter that it's slightly drier than avg?
 
SnowNiner said:
How in the world do we get a February nino, split flow, active stj, tanking soi, and get dry in the SE? Come on man. ?
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SD said:
It's not dry it's like .2-.4 BN. We average just short of 1 inch per 7 days this time of year so if it's .6-.8 and let's say that's all snow does it matter that it's slightly drier than avg?
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Yeah, I'm sure your right...like everything you guys mentioned, we should be good.
 
1300m said:
Is there some way we could have a pattern discussion only thread? I can't stand seeing all these stupid 300+ hr op runs cluttering up the good discussion that actually has merit.
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We will discuss in our super secret staff chat where we secretly plot who's posts to delete and our next move to make brick mad.

But seriously we've had discussions about model only threads and some things of this nature. Not sure the best course of action. I'll think about it and propose some things to staff and we will float some ideas out here.
 
Does anyone else remember the guy from way back on here that used to throw ice on his yard to lower the groung temperature and would do some type of specialized to him only snow dance when storms were coming? I seem to recall that he was from around LaGrange, GA.
 
KyloG said:
Yeah, I'm sure your right...like everything you guys mentioned, we should be good.
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No I was whining, not defending. I can't believe in this background state we'd somehow be at all dryer than normal. I would think we'd be drenched. Hopefully that corrects.

As the days go by, I'd like to see the ensemble snow mean get substantial in the long range. WV has no problem having a great mean long range. With an excellent pattern for us you'd think we could manage it as well. If it stays paltry less than an inch, there's probably a reason.
 
EastmanGAWX said:
Does anyone else remember the guy from way back on here that used to throw ice on his yard to lower the groung temperature and would do some type of specialized to him only snow dance when storms were coming? I seem to recall that he was from around LaGrange, GA.
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That sounds like the world famous coreytucker.
 
EastmanGAWX said:
Does anyone else remember the guy from way back on here that used to throw ice on his yard to lower the groung temperature and would do some type of specialized to him only snow dance when storms were coming? I seem to recall that he was from around LaGrange, GA.
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About that person... here is a story:

Once upon a time in the sunny state of Georgia, there lived a man named Corey. Corey was an eccentric individual with an unusual obsession: he loved snow. Despite living in a region where snow was a rare occurrence, Corey's fascination with the white, fluffy substance was unyielding.

Corey tried everything to experience snow in his hometown. He bought a snow machine, but it wasn't the same. He even traveled to colder climates during the winter, but he longed to see snow falling in his own backyard.

In his desperation, Corey turned to the mystical arts. He found an old ouija board at a local antique shop and began to dabble in black magic. He spent countless nights chanting incantations and moving the planchette across the board, all in the hopes of summoning a snowstorm.

One fateful night, Corey felt a chill in the air. He looked outside and, to his delight, saw the first snowflakes falling from the sky. His joy, however, was short-lived. The snowflakes quickly turned into a flurry, then a blizzard. Corey watched in horror as the snow piled up, covering his house, his car, and everything in sight.

The town was thrown into chaos. Roads were blocked, power lines were down, and people were trapped in their homes. Corey realized that his obsession had gone too far. He had wanted snow, but not like this.

In a desperate attempt to reverse the spell, Corey returned to the ouija board. He pleaded with the spirits to stop the snowstorm. After several tense moments, the snow began to lighten, and eventually, it stopped.

Corey was relieved, but he also felt a deep sense of guilt. His obsession had caused trouble for his entire town. From that day forward, Corey put away the ouija board and vowed never to use black magic again. He learned a valuable lesson about the dangers of obsession and the unpredictable nature of forces beyond our control.

And so, Corey's life returned to normal, or as normal as it could be for a man who once made it snow in Georgia. He still loved snow, but he learned to appreciate it from a distance, content with the natural order of things.
 
Wilson said:
About that person... here is a story:

Once upon a time in the sunny state of Georgia, there lived a man named Corey. Corey was an eccentric individual with an unusual obsession: he loved snow. Despite living in a region where snow was a rare occurrence, Corey's fascination with the white, fluffy substance was unyielding.

Corey tried everything to experience snow in his hometown. He bought a snow machine, but it wasn't the same. He even traveled to colder climates during the winter, but he longed to see snow falling in his own backyard.

In his desperation, Corey turned to the mystical arts. He found an old ouija board at a local antique shop and began to dabble in black magic. He spent countless nights chanting incantations and moving the planchette across the board, all in the hopes of summoning a snowstorm.

One fateful night, Corey felt a chill in the air. He looked outside and, to his delight, saw the first snowflakes falling from the sky. His joy, however, was short-lived. The snowflakes quickly turned into a flurry, then a blizzard. Corey watched in horror as the snow piled up, covering his house, his car, and everything in sight.

The town was thrown into chaos. Roads were blocked, power lines were down, and people were trapped in their homes. Corey realized that his obsession had gone too far. He had wanted snow, but not like this.

In a desperate attempt to reverse the spell, Corey returned to the ouija board. He pleaded with the spirits to stop the snowstorm. After several tense moments, the snow began to lighten, and eventually, it stopped.

Corey was relieved, but he also felt a deep sense of guilt. His obsession had caused trouble for his entire town. From that day forward, Corey put away the ouija board and vowed never to use black magic again. He learned a valuable lesson about the dangers of obsession and the unpredictable nature of forces beyond our control.

And so, Corey's life returned to normal, or as normal as it could be for a man who once made it snow in Georgia. He still loved snow, but he learned to appreciate it from a distance, content with the natural order of things.
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Brilliant! And this doesn't even cover the story of a Wild Beast chasing him in the woods or killing wasps ?
 
Is there a reason why the good fantasy runs seem to happen at night instead of during the day model runs?
 
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