coldspringsfarm
Member
Once I get my Augmented Reality Weather Headset perfected you guys can just load your favorite model run and experience it virtually. Who needs a snowless reality??
But then it would be dedIf I ever started a weather forum, I'd make a 3 day rule for particular "storm" discussion.
It'd save a ton of bandwidth.
Or if it even agrees with itselfEuro is so wildly different from really everything around D6/7. Should be fun to watch and see if it's leading a trend or not right
It's close to the gfs but we have really seen the models split into 2 distinct camps at 12z the euro/gfs and the icon/cmc. I'm not sure we can get a mesh of the 2 camps really seems like this is kind of a all right all wrongOr if it even agrees with itself
But then it would be ded
All the local mets here called for above average snow this winter with most of it coming in Januray. So...For all the jawboning out there (not this site specifically) about Feb 15 thru end-of-winter being just super spectacular great we'd better see some goods.![]()
Kind of the whole point of a place like this though right? Find a group of people with similar interests and discuss the possibilities. I mean it would be like going to a sports board and saying only talk about the next game not further in the season or free agency.That's the point. Too much wading through crap for storms that aren't going to happen.
The weather for the most part is boring. Weenies just wish it into existence for entertainment until the inevitable failure and "onto the next" happens.
What is one thing we are learning about this storm? Just one thing? Oh, it's the lesson we already know. Model chasing is futile. This all could have been easily avoided if reality was accepted days ago.
But nope. As soon as another Day 7+ threat shows on a model, regardless of how bad it has performed, here everyone goes again.
Kind of the whole point of a place like this though right? Find a group of people with similar interests and discuss the possibilities. I mean it would be like going to go a sports board and saying only talk about the next game not further in the season or free agency.
By this point most people that have done this long enough should understand the danger of getting excited about anything until its happening. If people are walking away today with their feelings hurt I'm sorry I guess?
Kind of a victim of our own success, when we started this place we said we wanted to take over the region and eventually the US. We are halfway thereI just wish the pattern/threat threads were readable in 5-10 posts per model cycle. It's so much to read. I spend most my time scrolling until I see pictures.
Sounds like you should switch over to American Wx.I just wish the pattern/threat threads were readable in 5-10 posts per model cycle. It's so much to read. I spend most my time scrolling until I see pictures.
I appreciate the POV. I am not sure I see the point of a weather board that only has 20 posts a day, though. There are plenty of people you could follow on twitter to see pictures and hear really good cogent analyses: webber, raleighwx, dt, kitty bump, etc!That's the point. Too much wading through crap for storms that aren't going to happen.
The weather for the most part is boring. Weenies just wish it into existence for entertainment until the inevitable failure and "onto the next" happens.
What is one thing we are learning about this storm? Just one thing? Oh, it's the lesson we already know. Model chasing is futile. This all could have been easily avoided if reality was accepted days ago.
But nope. As soon as another Day 7+ threat shows on a model, regardless of how bad it has performed, here everyone goes again.
I agree with this. I actually think we should break more things out into their own threads. I understand the superstitions surrounding threads but traffic management is #1 imoI do think the dominant "threat" should be split off into it's own thread though. There's a lot to talk about with the upcoming pattern that's more conducive than what we are currently chasing.
Sounds as if your saying weenies gonna weenie?That's the point. Too much wading through crap for storms that aren't going to happen.
The weather for the most part is boring. Weenies just wish it into existence for entertainment until the inevitable failure and "onto the next" happens.
What is one thing we are learning about this storm? Just one thing? Oh, it's the lesson we already know. Model chasing is futile. This all could have been easily avoided if reality was accepted days ago.
But nope. As soon as another Day 7+ threat shows on a model, regardless of how bad it has performed, here everyone goes again.
Tune Sounds real familiar. Ive learned no matter how good it looks pattern wise and shows up as. Still need timing luck in some way. shape or fashion. Even in a not so sexy pattern like the short window next Sun-Tues, same logic and reasoning still applies. Chasing snow in the SE is a crap shoot!For all the jawboning out there (not this site specifically) about Feb 15 thru end-of-winter being just super spectacular great we'd better see some goods.![]()
I wonder how much pain would be erased if the public could only see the models out to day 5. Run them out like they are now but restrict access to people and organizations with a proven need to see them.That's the point. Too much wading through crap for storms that aren't going to happen.
The weather for the most part is boring. Weenies just wish it into existence for entertainment until the inevitable failure and "onto the next" happens.
What is one thing we are learning about this storm? Just one thing? Oh, it's the lesson we already know. Model chasing is futile. This all could have been easily avoided if reality was accepted days ago.
But nope. As soon as another Day 7+ threat shows on a model, regardless of how bad it has performed, here everyone goes again.
There are too many "experts" now. Everyone and their mother, including the media, share fantasy land snow maps now.I wonder how much pain would be erased if the public could only see the models out to day 5. Run them out like they are now but restrict access to people and organizations with a proven need to see them.
I can understand this as a Lurker.....the key in that no offense to anyone at all, only pay attention if certain ppl are saying things good or bad. Everyones opinion is valuable i just mean there is only a select few Ik to buy in or give in based on them lol.... Also you are in Columbia SC im sure even Mitch would tell you its way harder for yall than most. You think we need it almost perfect up here in WNC/NW Piedmont yall need it even more perfect unfortuatelyI just wish the pattern/threat threads were readable in 5-10 posts per model cycle. It's so much to read. I spend most my time scrolling until I see pictures.
If it’s snowing hard enough it can temporarily stick. Won’t last long on the ground though. If it snows after Valentines Day it’s best to get snow at night.March sun angle and stuffView attachment 144381
It’s just so difficult to get snow after Valentines Day. There’s a reason why it’s been almost 15 years since there’s been snow after that day. I don’t care how good the pattern looks. The sun angle will win at the end of the day.
If it’s snowing hard enough it can temporarily stick. Won’t last long on the ground though. If it snows after Valentines Day it’s best to get snow at night.
Majority of snows anywhere in the southeast don’t stay around long regardless of the time of year. The last snow we got in Tennessee a few weeks ago was a rarity to have it on the ground for a week. In late January 2016 I got 12 inches and it was all gone by the end of day 4. It can be 20 degrees out but if the full sun is shining you still get lots of melting.If it’s snowing hard enough it can temporarily stick. Won’t last long on the ground though. If it snows after Valentines Day it’s best to get snow at night.
Well we waited from 2014 to 2022 at one point so we got this fam.me waiting on a pattern flip since 2022
You forgot about this one between that time....Well we waited from 2014 to 2022 at one point so we got this fam.
DoneEveryone should change their avatar to a wrestling one for good luck.
Yeh true. I got a half inch from that which melted as soon as it stopped. HahaYou forgot about this one between that time....
March 12, 2017 Carolina Snowfall
www.weather.gov
This would've likely notched a couple more inches, but the ground was rather warm leading up to this one.