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Wintry Winter Storm January 6th-10th #2

Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn...How are things looking over there in Lexington?

Rain drops slowly getting colder and falling on my AC slower and slower.
I hope we can squeeze something out of this and not let it be a "total" disaster. I mean anything at this point would be nice. Glad to see over Corey's way, they may be getting a last push so to speak.
 
CoreyTheSecond said:
Shawn said:
CoreyTheSecond said:
Not sure on the exact cause but it needs to expand northward.

Upper level + surface low create a stretching motion of air.  Develop a "sometimes" steep band of precip on the back end.

Thanks Shawn. Can this precip ever get heavy?

Of course.  Sometimes you get your best snow rates per hour in these bands.  For this kind of event though, nothing nuts.  Something nice to see for a while.  Highly doubt you will hit your forecast totals of snow with it.
 
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn...How are things looking over there in Lexington?

Rain drops slowly getting colder and falling on my AC slower and slower.
I hope we can squeeze something out of this and not let it be a "total" disaster. I mean anything at this point would be nice. Glad to see over Corey's way, they may be getting a last push so to speak.

Expect a bit of rain to sleet.  Then some snow falling in.  It might be small and grain like with the cold air flooding in.  Then the flakes will slowly start to fall apart to more of a sleet look (single grain of ice) and back to freezing drizzle.

By the time things get really cold enough for a bigger snow, dry air will infiltrate the snow growth region (the place where snow forms) and be poop.
 
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
Rain drops slowly getting colder and falling on my AC slower and slower.
I hope we can squeeze something out of this and not let it be a "total" disaster. I mean anything at this point would be nice. Glad to see over Corey's way, they may be getting a last push so to speak.

Expect a bit of rain to sleet.  Then some snow falling in.  It might be small and grain like with the cold air flooding in.  Then the flakes will slowly start to fall apart to more of a sleet look (single grain of ice) and back to freezing drizzle.

By the time things get really cold enough for a bigger snow, dry air will infiltrate the snow growth region (the place  where snow forms) and be poop.
Thanks for that information. I was expecting as much. Depressing to say the least, but expected. Oh well, on to the next one I guess dude. Having said that, we are in for quite a warm up. Just hope it doesn't last too long. I hate wasting days like that in the winter, esp. with a system like this one (QPF loaded). What could've been if things were in our favor.
 
Shawn said:
CoreyTheSecond said:
Shawn said:
Upper level + surface low create a stretching motion of air.  Develop a "sometimes" steep band of precip on the back end.

Thanks Shawn. Can this precip ever get heavy?

Of course.  Sometimes you get your best snow rates per hour in these bands.  For this kind of event though, nothing nuts.  Something nice to see for a while.  Highly doubt you will hit your forecast totals of snow with it.


Even an inch would be great. The snow right now is tiny little flakes and pretty light. I am not expecting too much unless the intensity picks up. I am getting sleepy though. I might have to go to bed and wake up at daylight.
 
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
I hope we can squeeze something out of this and not let it be a "total" disaster. I mean anything at this point would be nice. Glad to see over Corey's way, they may be getting a last push so to speak.

Expect a bit of rain to sleet.  Then some snow falling in.  It might be small and grain like with the cold air flooding in.  Then the flakes will slowly start to fall apart to more of a sleet look (single grain of ice) and back to freezing drizzle.

By the time things get really cold enough for a bigger snow, dry air will infiltrate the snow growth region (the place  where snow forms) and be poop.
Thanks for that information. I was expecting as much. Depressing to say the least, but expected. Oh well, on to the next one I guess dude. Having said that, we are in for quite a warm up. Just hope it doesn't last too long. I hate wasting days like that in the winter, esp. with a system like this one (QPF loaded). What could've been if things were in our favor.

We do well in Feb by climo.  Sadly.  The rest of Jan is ruined for us down here.
 
Still getting light snow this hour...precip reblooming over ATL...hoping that trend continues at the shortwave moves into the area *crosses fingers* Still nothing overhead on radar here but its definitely snowing small to sometimes medium flakes.
 
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
Expect a bit of rain to sleet.  Then some snow falling in.  It might be small and grain like with the cold air flooding in.  Then the flakes will slowly start to fall apart to more of a sleet look (single grain of ice) and back to freezing drizzle.

By the time things get really cold enough for a bigger snow, dry air will infiltrate the snow growth region (the place  where snow forms) and be poop.
Thanks for that information. I was expecting as much. Depressing to say the least, but expected. Oh well, on to the next one I guess dude. Having said that, we are in for quite a warm up. Just hope it doesn't last too long. I hate wasting days like that in the winter, esp. with a system like this one (QPF loaded). What could've been if things were in our favor.

We do well in Feb by climo.  Sadly.  The rest of Jan is ruined for us down here.
Yep, I know Feb. is typically our best month climo wise. But, i'm not feeling it this winter.  I hope i'm wrong, but I get a feeling it will be like the past few winters we've had recently.
 
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Thanks for that information. I was expecting as much. Depressing to say the least, but expected. Oh well, on to the next one I guess dude. Having said that, we are in for quite a warm up. Just hope it doesn't last too long. I hate wasting days like that in the winter, esp. with a system like this one (QPF loaded). What could've been if things were in our favor.

We do well in Feb by climo.  Sadly.  The rest of Jan is ruined for us down here.
Yep, I know Feb. is typically our best month climo wise. But, i'm not feeling it this winter.  I hope i'm wrong, but I get a feeling it will be like the past few winters we've had recently.

It will likely fail for us, but look.  I just saved this crap accuweather radar image.. and outlined it.   Hopefully it will fill in along the line i made (in red)... if not, we are 100% shut out.


 
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
We do well in Feb by climo.  Sadly.  The rest of Jan is ruined for us down here.
Yep, I know Feb. is typically our best month climo wise. But, i'm not feeling it this winter.  I hope i'm wrong, but I get a feeling it will be like the past few winters we've had recently.

It will likely fail for us, but look.  I just saved this crap accuweather radar image.. and outlined it.   Hopefully it will fill in along the line i made (in red)... if not, we are 100% shut out.


Wishful thinking i'm afraid.  It obviously can happen, but that's rather anemic at the moment.  I'd gladly take it though.
 
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Yep, I know Feb. is typically our best month climo wise. But, i'm not feeling it this winter.  I hope i'm wrong, but I get a feeling it will be like the past few winters we've had recently.

It will likely fail for us, but look.  I just saved this crap accuweather radar image.. and outlined it.   Hopefully it will fill in along the line i made (in red)... if not, we are 100% shut out.


Wishful thinking i'm afraid.  It obviously can happen, but that's rather anemic at the moment.  I'd gladly take it though.

If it actually gets going, it will explode on radar. I'm sure we'll get screwed though.
 
Shawn said:
DLI4SCwx said:
Shawn said:
It will likely fail for us, but look.  I just saved this crap accuweather radar image.. and outlined it.   Hopefully it will fill in along the line i made (in red)... if not, we are 100% shut out.


Wishful thinking i'm afraid.  It obviously can happen, but that's rather anemic at the moment.  I'd gladly take it though.

If it actually gets going, it will explode on radar.  I'm sure we'll get screwed though.
LOL...We will get screwed man!  Look at where we live, just about every time it happens to end up on the wrong side for us.
 
Think that band may be developing. Snowing picking up a little with some returns starting to pop up. Let's see where this goes.


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LOL. The funny thing is, the precip looks kinda impressive under my porch lamp at the right angle. But I went outside under the street lamp and can't really even see anything falling. It's barely heavier than a drizzle here. I think I am going to bed. I wanna get up at sunrise to see the ice in daylight at it's full potential. Hopefully this band of snow will grow and intensify, but I am not sure. Something to watch for sure, but I am too sleepy. Goodnight all and best of luck to everyone.
 
Okay, snow looks a bit heavier now and wind is stronger. I might stay up for another 10 mins. Snow is still light, but more than a drizzle now :)
 
Snow flakes getting bigger here. Still extremely small, but it's an improvement. Who knows, maybe Atlanta will get a quick inch. Band Building up towards NW Ga too. Might pass north of ATL. But....maybe another band will form. I don't know. But....I am going to go to bed. Hopefully I will wake up to some flurries at least.
 
CoreyTheSecond said:
Okay, snow looks a bit heavier now and wind is stronger. I might stay up for another 10 mins. Snow is still light, but more than a drizzle now :)
Good luck Corey, hope you can end up with something good!
 
DLI4SCwx said:
CoreyTheSecond said:
Okay, snow looks a bit heavier now and wind is stronger. I might stay up for another 10 mins. Snow is still light, but more than a drizzle now :)
Good luck Corey, hope you can end up with something good!

Thanks. You too. Have a good night.
 
All sleet with maybe .5 of snow what a colossal failure...

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metwannabe said:
All sleet with maybe .5 of snow what a colossal failure...

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You should be going to all snow soon. I'm so disappointed it's going to take a while to come back from this one.

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Ugh, went outside and its garbage. 36.0F and drizzle with the end wave of precip.
 
Was awoken to the sound of a howling N wind and ice-coated branches scraping the sides & roof of my home.
Sounds like someone with heavy feet is walking on my roof
The light snow falling outside is a novelty so insignificant that I really don't want it anymore if it meant not losing power or having a huge limb fall on my home.

24.1/ lght snow/ 15-25mph winds
 
I guess I should get out of bed before I say all rain sleeting with maybe a quarter to half inch

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Hrrr is the only thing keeping hopes alive bc the radar doesn't

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Well, my yard is still brown from the lack of snow from what I can see. I was hoping my 4 month old could experience his first snow later this morning. Disappointing, but that's life in the South. Congratulations to those on the Atlanta area and elsewhere that received snow. Enjoy it. Like Corey#2, I can hear loud crashes and I know it's trees around my neighborhood. Thankfully, my power is still working.

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Well here comes part 2 of the storm. (Blowing Snow report in Tennessee below) Blizzard conditions are likely at the ridge tops, I do not recommend hiking esp Sunday AM!

METAR KTYS 071053Z 35011KT 1 1/2SM -SN BLSN SCT014 OVC026 M09/M12 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP263 P0000 T10891122 $

NWS Blacksburg
Another concern that will affect motorists across the entire forecast area
will be localized whiteout conditions due to blowing snow. Given the
powdery nature of snow falling early Saturday morning, with no
melting expected through the weekend, blowing snow may locally
reduce visibilities to near zero.
 
SD said:
metwannabe said:
All sleet with maybe .5 of snow what a colossal failure...

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You should be going to all snow soon. I'm so disappointed it's going to take a while to come back from this one.

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For real this one stings.... I am back to snow now but I'm running out of time. Saw where Roxboro picked up 8" shocker

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I will admit I more than busted for my backyard I was not expecting over 2". I also did not think it would snow past 5am and I am currently in a extremely heavy ratio deform band at 7am that has aligned itself along the blue ridge!


 
metwannabe said:
SD said:
metwannabe said:
All sleet with maybe .5 of snow what a colossal failure...

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You should be going to all snow soon. I'm so disappointed it's going to take a while to come back from this one.

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For real this one stings.... I am back to snow now but I'm running out of time. Saw where Roxboro picked up 8" shocker

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You still look good for decent accumulations today. The radar back to the west isn't that bad as long as it doesn't bite the dust.

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SD said:
metwannabe said:
SD said:
You should be going to all snow soon. I'm so disappointed it's going to take a while to come back from this one.

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For real this one stings.... I am back to snow now but I'm running out of time. Saw where Roxboro picked up 8" shocker

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You still look good for decent accumulations today. The radar back to the west isn't that bad as long as it doesn't bite the dust.

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Well I've got moderate to heavy snow now, still hear a few pellets but I'd say 90% snow. At least I've got several hours to go... hate it for you guys man! Did you get zr?

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metwannabe said:
SD said:
metwannabe said:
For real this one stings.... I am back to snow now but I'm running out of time. Saw where Roxboro picked up 8" shocker

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You still look good for decent accumulations today. The radar back to the west isn't that bad as long as it doesn't bite the dust.

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Well I've got moderate to heavy snow now, still here a few pellets but I'd say 90% snow. At least I've got several hours to go... hate it for you guys man! Did you get zr?

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Moderate sleet here right now. Yeah we definitely had some freezing rain probably around .05-.1

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8c8ccb77dad29f51a35bfa43f1725300.jpg


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SD said:
metwannabe said:
SD said:
You still look good for decent accumulations today. The radar back to the west isn't that bad as long as it doesn't bite the dust.

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Well I've got moderate to heavy snow now, still here a few pellets but I'd say 90% snow. At least I've got several hours to go... hate it for you guys man! Did you get zr?

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Moderate sleet here right now. Yeah we definitely had some freezing rain probably around .05-.1

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At least it wasn't enough zr to cause issues with trees and power lines that would've been the ultimate kick. You should be changing over soon too and looks like precip filling in on radar to our west and SW...

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metwannabe said:
SD said:
metwannabe said:
Well I've got moderate to heavy snow now, still here a few pellets but I'd say 90% snow. At least I've got several hours to go... hate it for you guys man! Did you get zr?

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Moderate sleet here right now. Yeah we definitely had some freezing rain probably around .05-.1

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At least it wasn't enough zr to cause issues with trees and power lines that would've been the ultimate kick. You should be changing over soon too and looks like precip filling in on radar to our west and SW...

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Yeah I'm glad I slept through that part it would have been ultra cheeks clinched.

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Hrrr keeps me sucked in....if we can ever flip to snow might eek out 1-2

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d7b6d28c653b88a0084fe4fca2176efb.jpg


Still a lot of light snow and flurries back to the west

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