griteater
Member
Here's tonight's GEFS Ext from Christmas Eve to Jan 6
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Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
griteater
Member
GEFS Ext 7-day average for Jan 3 - Jan 10. Very tasty if true
griteater
Member
Same, but temperatures
Like the blocking over the top to suppress the flow in the east, the ridging over AK to inject legit cold into the pattern, and the active STJ. Looks good.GEFS Ext 7-day average for Jan 3 - Jan 10. Very tasty if true
Brent
Member
Continuing to see hype about the Christmas timeframe here. This has been a consistent theme for a few weeks now
I'll believe it when I see it... I'm not even talking about cold the rain has mostly dried up even which is more disturbing to me. Everything in fantasy land that has looked promising goes poof so far
I'll believe it when I see it... I'm not even talking about cold the rain has mostly dried up even which is more disturbing to me. Everything in fantasy land that has looked promising goes poof so far
Above normal AK, always a good sign!Same, but temperatures
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And right in this time frame the rumblings about the elusive SSWE perhaps kick in to make the rest of prime-climo very interesting.GEFS Ext 7-day average for Jan 3 - Jan 10. Very tasty if true
BHS1975
Member
Been like that for years now. I would be surprised if we get the rug pulled out from under us again.
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tennessee storm
Member
Yeah. Think it be very end December into January we start to score
I think Grit is excited y'all 
Thanks grit. Looks to be in the -3 C range. What are our (NC) average 850 temps (F) in that time frame?Same, but temperatures
weatherfide
Member
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Charlotte is about 2 to 3 degrees Celsius at 850 mb, on average this time of year. So most of NC would average below 0, if that map is correct.
Thanks. That's what I figured. That scenario w/o suppression and we stand a decent chance to get a hit during this nino
Monthly snowfall predictions for GSP
Dec 0.0
Jan 4.1 all in one storm. Rain to snow to sleet
Feb 0.3 rain with backend snow
Mar 0.0
Dec 0.0
Jan 4.1 all in one storm. Rain to snow to sleet
Feb 0.3 rain with backend snow
Mar 0.0
Simon Lee now has 35-day teleconnections forecast on his website.
Thread
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
No wonder it's been so quiet in here the last several days.
If you were hoping to see some snow before January, I honestly can't think of a crappier pattern than this one.
Plenty cold enough for cold rain, but nowhere near cold enough to snow.
Not surprised at all though, this is pretty in line w/ what I was saying in here earlier this week & is par for the course for big El Niños.
If you were hoping to see some snow before January, I honestly can't think of a crappier pattern than this one.
Plenty cold enough for cold rain, but nowhere near cold enough to snow.
Not surprised at all though, this is pretty in line w/ what I was saying in here earlier this week & is par for the course for big El Niños.
Are you still expecting a flip to a pretty decent pattern beginning January?