Wintry Winter 26-27

[GaWx]

I'm interested to see the next QBO reading. If it takes a significant drop, that would be good.

Yeah Dave Tolleris with WxRisk said it’s only went above 14 a handful of times in the last 100 years or whatever so odds are it’ll come down some which will be interesting

It will very likely still be +5 or higher at 30 mb through Feb and could even still be ~+10 at 30 mb (the level which is most followed) even in Feb based on my own analysis of past patterns and what’s going on now. My best guess right now for it to first go <0 is ~May. This is why I feel that 2015-6, 1982-3, and 1957-8 are easily the best analogs for super Ninos.

History:


Recent pointing to +5+ at 30 mb through Feb per historical patterns:

 

[Tarheel1]

I love experimental models! They predict the best snows!!