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Wintry Winter 25-26 Winter Battle Zone

griteater said:
Predicting the future is hard in any business or hobby, but I have higher than normal confidence that the Dec 15 to Jan 15 period is going to be active and fun in here. Get the load testing done early boys!

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Do you think we’re looking at more climo favored areas this time around or is it possible to see some crazy stuff like the gulf had last year again?
 
griteater said:
Predicting the future is hard in any business or hobby, but I have higher than normal confidence that the Dec 15 to Jan 15 period is going to be active and fun in here. Get the load testing done early boys!

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Boom! Let's see if we can bump that up to fantastic in the next week or two. Might as well shoot the moon!

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griteater said:
There’s an option in there in an extreme scenario to take it all the way to the ground…flatlined
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Thats it. Go big or Go home! Worse that can happen is you will be wrong and fit in with everyone else in LR forecasting lol.
Im encouraged with this news coming from you. I value your opinion on LR outlooks as much as anyone. You always do your homework and call it like you see it, as well as include the caveats as to what could screw the pooch as things progress along. We all appreciate your post, research,thoughts on here.
 
Stevo24 said:
There’s nothing that gets me more excited than watching the Euro start to show a storm forming in Texas and seeing that snow line well south and coming this way. And not fizzle out the closer it gets.
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I would love to see a good old fashioned southern slider sometime this winter with a goo wide swath of accumulations 4”+ from N AL to N GA to the western and central Carolinas. It’s been too long since we’ve seen that
 
Stevo24 said:
There’s nothing that gets me more excited than watching the Euro start to show a storm forming in Texas and seeing that snow line well south and coming this way. And not fizzle out the closer it gets.
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Yeah, I remember when that used to happen, too.
 
Stevo24 said:
There’s nothing that gets me more excited than watching the Euro start to show a storm forming in Texas and seeing that snow line well south and coming this way. And not fizzle out the closer it gets.
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You must have been bored as s#!+ since 1988. 🤣
 
griteater said:
Predicting the future is hard in any business or hobby, but I have higher than normal confidence that the Dec 15 to Jan 15 period is going to be active and fun in here. Get the load testing done early boys!

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My own feeling is that the combo of a weak SPV in late Nov/early Dec along with a weak to moderate MJO since that’s on average when it’s coldest (preferably slow moving <1.5 amp phase 8 followed by slow moving near or inside COD phases 1-2-3) combined with Nina climo would give a good chance at a cold dominated E US 12/15-1/15. A lot is up to the MJO, which has struggled to get into phase 8 at all in Dec since 2010.
 
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