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Wintry Winter 25-26 Preszn discussion

BIG FROSTY said:
Well, we got Bob on our side.

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I like below temps but anytime I see one of these with “winter battleground” on it I throw it out the window. That’s lazy predictions.
 
iGRXY said:
I like below temps but anytime I see one of these with “winter battleground” on it I throw it out the window. That’s lazy predictions.
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I've pretty much quit believing seasonal forecasts anyway 😂

They can't even predict next month....

And like I said before out here last winter the best storms came out of nowhere anyway and the two winters before that we had a snow hole around us during the best storm of the year with a winter storm warning 🤣
 
BIG FROSTY said:
Well, we got Bob on our side.

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Below is his 2018-9 winter precip. forecast. From it:

1. “Winter Battle Zone” area: The battle was won in Dec with a major snow during Dec. in the GSP area, much of NC (at least Charlotte, Asheville, GSO, RDU), and much of VA. But E NC, most of TN, and most of N GA, N AL, and N MS lost the battle.

2. “Icy Winter” area: I couldn’t find any ice or snow

3. “Wet Winter” zone had mainly AN rainfall. So that verified well. Actually, much of the south centered on TN had a wet winter.

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The song Cold Rain and Snow that the Grateful Dead covers describes the winter weather perfectly that occurs along the transition line that runs along 40 in the RDU area during many of our winter storms. By the way, that song was written by a North Carolina native.
 
iGRXY said:
I like below temps but anytime I see one of these with “winter battleground” on it I throw it out the window. That’s lazy predictions.
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Agreed. I have seen "winter battleground" and "Icey" for my forecast time and time again and I'm still waiting on that ice for twenty years.
 
Battleground basically means we know you aren’t going to get anything but to play it safe just in case we will call it a “battleground” area.
 
SD said:
There are actually a good amount of decent analogs in this list. When I put out my analogs it was actually slightly bn here way bn for you
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There are some very nice ones on there. 1978-79, 1981-82, 1993-94, and 2013-14 stand out to me. This board would be happy with any of them I think, even 1993-94 which did not have much snow, but did have 2 fairly significant ice events. Most on here probably do not remember the 1978-79 and 1981-82 winters, but they were both very nice with multiple big events.
 
I think the winter will be pretty normal and pedestrian in the SE. Snow depends on SO many factors to make it here, nobody has any clue how much we get, if any. Patterns of cold or warm CAN be discerned at times but the variables involved with them producing snow south of Virginia are a crap shoot
 
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