Pattern Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive

[Ollie Williams]

Hopefully, this is an appropriate thread, I saw the MA forum doing this and thought it was a good idea. Mods/Admins feel free to delete this

The purpose of this thread would be to organize all the wintery models in this thread so we can get excited about all the model "firsts"
Essentially :Weenie::Weenie: freak out that you can't be penalized for. I know that is what the fall Whamby is for and our many, many other threads, however, this would be nice for future winters to keep track of how far in advance we've gotten.

18z GEFS 10/5/2019
The First Ensemble member (#3) for snow over central NC from GSO to RDU. Here's an RDU Meteogram
Edit: The next time this will happen is, 10/10 18z GEFS M5

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z GFS 10/16
First Model run to forecast snow over the SE

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 10/16
Second Run to Show Snow over Central NC


Update: 7/7/2020

**Note Due to technical errors, some images may not be available**

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z EPS 10/17
First Members with Snow in NC #50

00z EPS 10
#27 and #17


12z EPS 10/18
Member #32

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z GFS 10/28
ZR Across much of NC

Update: 7/7/2020
**Note Due to technical errors, some images may not be available**

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z EPS 10/28
First run with mean in the SE (Skewed by #5)

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 10/28
First run with snow mean >0

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z Euro 10/31
First Euro run with Snow in NC (Over CLT)

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 11/2
Snow Across NC

Update: 7/7/2020
**Note Due to technical errors, some images may not be available**

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z GFS-FV3 11/3
I have some better high-res maps to remember this run

00z Euro Control 11/3

0

 

[Ollie Williams]

06z GFS-FV3 11/3
It does it again at 06z

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z Euro 11/3
The first real snowy run, separate from the system above


Euro Control 12z 11/3

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 11/20
Congrats Brent

Our festive SER peeking inside

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z CFS 11/21
Same timeframe as GFS Above

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 11/22
Snow across NC

 

[Ollie Williams]

06z GFS 11/23
@NoSnowATL first weenie run

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z CMC 11/25
Snow across much of the Interior SE

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 12/1
Bowling Ball Clipper Across the SE

 

[Ollie Williams]

Here are some Ensemble runs that have been sitting on my desktop

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z GFS 12/2
CAD across NC