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Wintry Winter 2019-20 Discussion

Here’s phases 2 through 4 with a positive enso and December..

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Phase 2 looks like fun and where we could end up in about 2.5-3 weeks from now barring how quickly this Scandinavian high retrogrades across Greenland & towards eastern Canada.

Otherwise, get ready to hit the links!
 
you warm mongers can talk all you like, but I’ll be over here hanging on to Grit’s forecast!

Odd that he blacked out the entire SE and upper SE for “low snowfall climatology”...can’t think of any other reason other than thinking he’d bust easier if he made a forecast for that area. I wonder if folks would like his outlook if he wrote below normal snow in that area lol


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Odd that he blacked out the entire SE and upper SE for “low snowfall climatology”...can’t think of any other reason other than thinking he’d bust easier if he made a forecast for that area. I wonder if folks would like his outlook if he wrote below normal snow in that area lol


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I'll take my chances with the rest of his outlook. ;)
 
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The difference I see in this year vs last year is that the cold is fighting harder to stick around. December will be a test for sure. All models show warm( no torch). We will see.


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One of the things that I'm seeing that I like is the propensity for more blocking to show up. I take that as a really good sign that something different may be going on this year that may keep us from having another complete stinker.
 
One of the things that I'm seeing that I like is the propensity for more blocking to show up. I take that as a really good sign that something different may be going on this year that may keep us from having another complete stinker.

Good agreement and I think a good sign to start Dec, but that’s just the optimist in me.

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Good agreement and I think a good sign to start Dec, but that’s just the optimist in me.

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The one thing I do really want to see is a good pipeline from Russia/Eurasia through which to transport cold air over here, so we don't spend all of our good blocking blocking in mild or semi-chilly Pacific air.
 
The one thing I do really want to see is a good pipeline from Russia/Eurasia through which to transport cold air over here, so we don't spend all of our good blocking blocking in mild or semi-chilly Pacific air.

Yeah, be nice and ironic if we get killer Greenland blocking, to go along with a nice western trough....

Need a nice west Canada ridge to go along with it...
 
^^we could do ok without the help of Siberia as long as we can generate enough cold on our side. Current snow cover is really good for the northern hemisphere. As long as we don't lose it, we could do well; especially as we get into the heart of winter. **of course if we get cross polar flow and we have a deep snow pack, we would be golden...
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