lexxnchloe
Member
Sigh, why couldnt you do this a week earlier?
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Hurricane Debby
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
18z GFS dumps 2 feet over you. Actually hits you again August 13th.
lexxnchloe
Member
Interesting to place bets where it ends up at 234 hours. GFS has it here
At 12z 180 ICON has it here and probably at 240 it would be nearing Iceland. A slight difference
At 12z 180 ICON has it here and probably at 240 it would be nearing Iceland. A slight difference
lexxnchloe
Member
I know. Standing water and skeeters thru Sept.
HugeSnowStick
Member
Sounds so exciting, to have snake infest, alligator's, mosquitoes', possible power out for a week or more, yes, living the dream.
Radar suggests a PRE may be forming over water from Richmond Hill Georgia to Charlestown South Carolina with flooding occurring later this evening before Debby arrives. The Atlantic is awake a bit early.
Shaggy
Member
In hindsight it's probably a good thing this made it into the gulf. Had this formed just east of Florida and had clean water with the same NW turn unto the SE it could have been a significant cane
I think Brad P is playing it safe because if somehow the GFS is even half correct here then we could get big rain. If any other global model is correct we get less than an inch. If it takes a Euro track and we get big rains anyway I will gladly own my failed prediction
And yes I’m here for it. If anyone would like to have an emergency Bojangles dinner or coffee let’s do it. 
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HugeSnowStick
Member
Some great webcams from the GA coast.
St. Simons Island & Jekyll Island Webcams in Golden Isles, GA
Imagine yourself right here in the Golden Isles! View our webcams for instant access to the St. Simons Island beach and pier or Jekyll Island beach.
www.goldenisles.com
I guess what it comes down to is we know 100% there will be changes in the modeling. Right now all we can do is go on what we have at the moment. Today the General consensus is a storm basically riding up the Georgia and Carolina coast. It's clear the NHC puts more weight on the Euro than any model. Whether they admit that or not idk. But center of the cone almost always follows what the Euro shows
It’s hard to argue against leaning towards the Euro with how well it’s done on tracks the last few years
Started before Hurricane Sandy but dang it nailed it so freakishly early with that west hook it even scared me with how powerful the EURO really is.
Very large high risk issued for Florida to South Carolina. Not sure if I have ever seen one this big. #flooding 
Henry2326
Member
18z HWRF
975 at landfall
982 into south GA.....spins there through Tuesday.
In previous runs, it never makes it to the Atlantic. Meanders back to AL, like the GFS.
Watching to see what this run does.
975 at landfall
982 into south GA.....spins there through Tuesday.
In previous runs, it never makes it to the Atlantic. Meanders back to AL, like the GFS.
Watching to see what this run does.
iGRXY
Member
Exactly the spaghetti models have several members that do exactly what the GFS is showing so it’s not on an island by itself technically
Stormsfury
Member
The OP GFS shows its solution because it literally merges the Western Central Ridge with the Bermuda High thus completely blocking Debby and also tracking it amongst the low level flow.