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Tropical Tropical Storm Cristobal

ICON now consistently showing stronger solutions. This is in line with what many of the EPS members are showing.
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I wouldn't be surprised to see a little Shift East for the short term. Pretty healthy area of convection moving north toward the water (a little east of what most have been showing when pushing into the water). We shall see.
 
Pretty remarkable agreement with cmc, euro and gfs ops all into Texas. I know there is some spread in members but still overall good agreement. Looks like a up and over pattern..hot over Carolinas as leftover system goes into the plains.
 
With that said, I would lean toward the euro since it was first and consistent on cross-over. GFS was consistently garbage bringing a monster out of the Caribbean.
 
Recon is going to investigate tommorow.
871
NOUS42 KNHC 011644
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1245 PM EDT MON 01 JUNE 2020
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JUNE 2020
TCPOD NUMBER.....20-006

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAY OF CAMPECHE)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 02/1430Z A. 02/2330Z
B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST B. AFXXX 0203A CYCLONE
C. 02/1200Z C. 02/2045Z
D. 20.0N 92.5W D. 19.5N 93.5W
E. 02/1400Z TO 02/1830Z E. 02/2300Z TO 03/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
A. 03/1130Z
B. AFXXX 0303A CYCLONE
C. 03/0845Z
D. 19.0N 93.8W
E. 03/1100Z TO 03/1430Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.
 
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