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Tropical Tropical storm Claudette

They added a slight right in my highest risk area I was highlighting. modernweenie 20210618_134232.jpgScreenshot_20210618-134118-625.pngScreenshot_20210618-134012-332.pngScreenshot_20210618-134505.png
 
SD said:
Inching northView attachment 85492
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Notice that the swath of rainfall doesn’t really move any over north GA and the Carolinas, but instead simply is more expansive on the northwest side. I think that is the model starting to pick up better on what should be a perfect upslope set up. I wouldn’t be surprised to really start seeing this show up even better as we go forward on the 3kNAM and the HRRR once in range.
 
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Raw Recon Data
( * ) Denotes suspect data
Time: 18:45:30Z
Coordinates: 27.817N 88.167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 343.8 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 8,718 m (28,602 ft)
D-value: 480 m
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 186° at 50 kts (From the S at 57.5 mph)
Air Temp: -21.5°C* (-6.7°F*)
Dew Pt: -*
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 56 kts (64.4 mph)

Too bad that's at 350 MB 28.600 ft lol
 
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18z hrrr updraft helicity swaths. That panhandle and two counties of alabama on the gulf look to be the hotspot. For any credible tornado chances. Over the past few runs helicity streaks have gotten heavier. Screenshot_20210618-145128-394.png
 
Would it be weenie-ish to say that this probably might not develop in time.

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SimeonNC said:
Would it be weenie-ish to say that this probably might not develop in time.

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Click to expand...
At this point it really doesn’t matter. The only reason this thing isn’t a named storm now is simply because it’s circulation has not closed off yet. The impacts going forward will be virtually the same.
 
Once or if they classified this before LF, I bet we get a 60 mpr storm
 
SD said:
View attachment 85507
Click to expand...
Yep just as I suspected .. models taking this thing through the heart of NC giving many areas 2-3 inches widespread … drought buster coming through ??

I also saw some potential for severe storms as the low tracks right over … definitely see some twisty cells
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yep just as I suspected .. models taking this thing through the heart of NC giving many areas 2-3 inches widespread … drought buster coming through ??

I also saw some potential for severe storms as the low tracks right over … definitely see some twisty cells
Click to expand...
How much for Jonesville?
 
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