Tropical Tropical storm Claudette

[iGRXY]

Why are we calling a system in that is only 48-72 hours out the long range? All major models show the southeast and carolinas getting hit with widespread 2-6" of rain. There is no basis to think we are not going to be getting anything out of the system. Unless things completely derail from a consistent showing of the models for almost a week now, bet on it raining.

 

[Metwannabe]

Why are we calling a system in that is only 48-72 hours out the long range? All major models show the southeast and carolinas getting hit with widespread 2-6" of rain. There is no basis to think we are not going to be getting anything out of the system. Unless things completely derail from a consistent showing of the models for almost a week now, bet on it raining.

Southeast yes, exact locations no, and depending on what part of the Carolinas still some uncertainty. Just look at last night's model runs as Allan Huffman points out in his tweet

 

[SD]

Southeast yes, exact locations no, and depending on what part of the Carolinas still some uncertainty. Just look at last night's model runs as Allan Huffman points out in his tweet

It's pretty interesting that the Euro is the most emphatic

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

True that’s so strange for me … it’s

It's pretty interesting that the Euro is the most emphatic

usually less emphatic about things like this which almost makes you wanna believe it completely

 

[SD]

True that’s so strange for me … it’s

usually less emphatic about things like this which almost makes you wanna believe it completely

I'm just waiting for it to mess it's britches and show like .06

 

[Zander98al]

I'm so hesitant on trusting the euro as the og now. It burned me on the last southeastern event with stronger windfields that ended up caving at the last minute

It's pretty interesting that the Euro is the most emphatic
[

 

[SD]

I'm so hesitant on trusting the euro as the og now. It burned me on the last southeastern event with stronger windfields that ended up caving at the last minute

Yeah euro 10m winds are notoriously high

 

[smast16]

It's pretty interesting that the Euro is the most emphatic

Welp, I was getting excited about a widespread soaking rain. After that tweet i'm getting nervous.

 

[Brent]

A tropical storm warning will likely be required for a portion of
the northern Gulf Coast later this afternoon, and Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories will likely be initiated on this system at 4 PM
CDT (2100 UTC).

 

[Zander98al]

A tropical storm warning will likely be required for a portion of
the northern Gulf Coast later this afternoon, and Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories will likely be initiated on this system at 4 PM
CDT (2100 UTC).
[/QUOT

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro track much further east

 

[Metwannabe]

 

[Metwannabe]

Congrats SC, this looks fun...



edit: Don't show @smast16

 

[Zander98al]

View attachment 85432

It's caving to the 3km nam lol

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro wants to exit the NC coast a stronger system than at landfall

and @EV_WS and @smast16 this is not ideal

 

[Metwannabe]

Welp, I was getting excited about a widespread soaking rain. After that tweet i'm getting nervous.

View attachment 85428

Ummmm.................

 

[EV/WS]

 

[SD]

Ummmm.................

Meanager

 

[Rain Cold]

I know I'll get hit with a verification score table or something, but the Euro has become a bad model. It is frequently an outlier with systems in the medium range and ends up caving.

 

[Metwannabe]

I know I'll get hit with a verification score table or something, but the Euro has become a bad model. It is frequently an outlier with systems in the medium range and ends up caving.

Agree 100%