cd2play
Member
Yeah... Some areas could have lows in the 50s again during the 4th of July weekend. Refreshing
If it verifies, of course
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The June Thread 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
If it verifies, of course
At some point the heat building out west has got to release and come east… when it does we’re going to be in for a true heat wave. It does appear that the overall pattern for the season suggests that it wouldn’t be an extended period, but a 4-6 day period of 95-100 degree heat would certainly seem probably. It is pretty amazing to me that at this point I’ve only had eight 90+ degree days and only 3 in June (there are no forecasted highs of 90 the rest of June at the moment). It seems like most of last decade I would have easily seen at least 15 by the end of June.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Yeah but what if its not released until Sept or Oct ?
Terrible question, it takes days to a weeks (perhaps a couple) for a H5 pattern to change, not months
Dewpoint Dan
Member
No such thing as a terrible question.
Yeah, I think the bigger issue is, where does the core of the heat go. There’s a good possibility that the highest heights get forced north causing the Great Lakes region and Northeast to bake. As far as September and October, by then the STJ should becoming a much bigger player with the Neutral ENSO and should help set us up with a nice autumn.
Just gonna drop this here for the record, close to 22” for the month of June just west of Greenville NC. Over 45” for the YTD.
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Unless it's winter and we have a SER and western trough and that takes months to break down!!
Or the cold rain generator, like the -NAO
Okay at least Gfs got rid of that ridiculous heat in the long range .. it’s just constant barrages of fronts and cut offs .. probably some severe weather mixed in next weekend
Shaggy
Member
Let's hope this pattern continues into peak hurricane season so we keep troughiness over the east coast.
True although I know a lot of people climo rain comes from tropical systems down the road and that’s how they avoid big drought … but if we have the troughs then I suppose rain will come with them
Already got over 3 inches of rain from the morning round of storms and the main event is still to come with this afternoon-tonight’s storms. If the storms later today are as slow moving and heavy as predicted flooding is going to become a problem.
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I'm going to make a bold prediction and say that DFW won't see a single 100*F+ day this year (the average is 20 days).
I hope I'm wrong.
I hope I'm wrong.
Brent
Member
That would be pretty much unheard of lol
Only 1906 and 1973 recorded none
I'd be surprised if there's not at least a couple by August