RollTide18
Member
Meh, it'll be gone the next few runs. Every advertised torch hasn't come to fruition.
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Meh, it'll be gone the next few runs. Every advertised torch hasn't come to fruition.
Good point, we've had some warm shots but the long range "torch" really has been muted as we get closer to verification. That's one trend that is different and hopefully will continue as we get closer and closer to climo favored time for winter weather.
There goes all our snowpack to the north and west. So much for that theory now huh?
Atleast Chicago blizzard is still a go, right?
It’s not gonna matter if there was endless snowpack from Canada to TN, those weak ass 1030 highs ain’t gonna get it done
Actually it's going to be south of Chicago
While I know what type of post this is, fact is, if there was "endless" snow pack from Canada to Tn a 1030 HP would be more than sufficient. But I digress because every single person on this board recognizes your style of posting, which is better suited for the whamby thread. Since you rarely read PM's, I'm not even going to send one but consider this a public friendly reminder to keep appropriate post in appropriate thread. Thanks
tennessee storm
Member
eps going that direction also...
RollTide18
Member
Like I said it'll be gone the next few runs, Euro/EPS have had warm runs that didn't verify lately as well.
pcbjr
Member
Beats torch talk and a N Christmas Day would be far better than, say, July at Christmas ...
Broken024
Member
Snow storm uncancelled on the 22nd
Gfs basically gives NC a close call/borderline blizzard, looks like the storm the northeast just got a few weeks ago, still lots of rain but it was a step in the right direction
cd2play
Member
OUCH!!!
Shortwave has been trending more south, which bodes well for us, and it’s intense as it’s feeling that -NAO, this is just one gfs run tho and with the performance of it lately you just can’t trust it nomore one bit 
You’d think we would be semi excited that a model is showing a snowstorm around 180 hours but with all the models recent skills ... can’t trust any of it ... maybe this one will have increased GEFS support
Well on the bright side the gfs shows this warmth around us, but manages to strengthen the storm to a point where it could give us extremely marginal temps for snow, very NINOIsh type storm we’re dealing with in December
Yup, blizzard conditions for central NC at hr 186. I've been wanting to see a storm like this for years on the models. The 12z GFS run is indeed an improved run once again.
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There already has been GEFS support for that storm. The GFS has been improving a bit over the past few of it's runs.
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The GFS definitely could be onto something. UK has deep cutoff in Tx with 50/50 low and ridging extending down from Hudson Bay.
