NoSnowATL
Member
Wrong thread.
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Pattern Swamptember 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
smast16
Member
I don't think that means what you think it means....
That 33-40% chance of below normal rainfall in the 8-14 day time period.
Umm how much do we have to pay to get the Euro to be right?
A trillion dollars.
Eps mean is like lol what rain?
Oh yay less but still hot and dry. The eps mean doesn't exactly give off vibes of pumpkin spice and bon fires... mainly mid 80s
Yes true I don’t believe fall is coming but some maybe cool mornings and not so hot afternoons .. I’ll take mid 80s and lower dews with how we’ve been .. not great for drought but I have faith we will get some big joint system at some point with tropics/front that sags south towards us … usually provides a good areal rain for many .. but haven’t seen a consistent sign on that so I’ll just enjoy the average temps
Yeah it'll be nice to get some lower dews and cooler days. I'm just ready to get away from summer all together
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Even if we do have another 90F day, most likely it will be accompanied by dews below 70. 90/70 days are over.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Dewey? Is that you?
Brent
Member
Yup looks like summer is over! 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Funny how areas way south of you like Atlanta will be a good 10-15 degrees cooler than you over the next few days. I guess that front just won't make it that far west. Could even be some 50s at night in AL and GA while you are in the 70s at night.
smast16
Member
Must have been a busy day, I'm surprised it took this long for someone to comment this.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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I miss the 80s already! ?
Brent
Member
I would kill for that forecast lol
Brent
Member
Tropical - TS Mindy
The lemon in the Southwestern Carribean has now been designated as a invest. An area of low pressure is producing some disorganized shower activity over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next couple of days as it moves westward or...
southernwx.com
accu35
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Thanks man. I know this is a sheared model because of the spread. Who knows at this point.
Charleston only had 43 days so far this summer above 90°. The average amount of days is 60. Last year was 72 days above 90.
LickWx
Member
I think RDU is at like 53 which is average .
Feels like 366
Happy first day of Meteorological Fall!!
Brent
Member
Now when is it gonna feel like fall ?
tennessee storm
Member
Enjoy the heat the next 5. 6 more weeks …. Least the nights start feel little better .
GFS does exactly what I been thinking lol, retrogression to a SE ridge
Front Sunday night into Monday is slowly trending wetter
NoSnowATL
Member
18.65 ended up being the final total for JJA. How's everyone else stack up that keeps track?
I wonder how much @smast16 got?
I'm going to say somewhere around 15 total for his area. He's probably on the high end of that 10-15.
Had me between 15-20 and 18.65 was it.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
LickWx
Member
I’m guessing he got 13 inches or so , essentially close to what’s average . Of course when it comes to summer though even our average rainfall is not enough to compensate for the amount of evaporation that happens , we would need to average a bit more . Maybe down by the coast where they average more like 18-20 inches JJA it balances out a little more but still probably not even.
Yeah looks like most of the region was close to normal but like you said the long dry periods were/are tough. We certainly didn't do like we did last year where big heat was often associated with big rain.
Yeah if you take a conservative day to day ET rate of .15 you get needing around 14 inches for summer. Accounting for different soil types/loss to run off you are probably more in the 16-17 inch range
Got close to 17 inches of rain for JJA
cd2play
Member
I got about 17 inches or so in JJA, but about 10 inches of it occurred in July. I figure at least one of the SON months will have below normal rainfall. This swamp fest has to end somewhere down the line!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Dang I figured you would have got close to 25". Wasn't there a major flooding event in your area ?