Yeah seems to be the theme hopefully it's just a case of models rushing something. Now I see why there were some ridiculously cool eps members last night
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Pattern Swamptember 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It’s a Tuesday in mid September, that means it’s time to feed the endless winter hype machine!
Weenie overload
Brent
Member
Still waiting for that super typhoon to flip the pattern
I like that. Must be wrong
cd2play
Member
Instead of flipping the pattern it’s gonna flip us off.
Honestly unless you live in the left or right armpit of the eastern half of the US, looks like average temps with above average rain fall over the next ten days.
NBAcentel
Member
EPS nowhere near as impressive with poleward western ridge as euro, but instead undercuts it 
That spread in the members post d10. Good grief
NBAcentel
Member
Is there anyone with access to the spread of ensemble temperatures in their long range? Seems like there’s a big cold front brewing around day 8-10 but models don’t know how to evolve it .. either we torch then cool quickly or it’s a gradual warm up until it finally moves past us and moderated us back down ..
At the end of the day this is a signal you want to continue to be shows if you are pushing for that -NAO to pop up … obviously more factors than just that but I’ll take signs of a -NAO any month of the year lol
NBAcentel
Member
Or we crap the pac and not get a front passed us
NBAcentel
Member
You better start your subscription to WxSouth
Yeah I'm not even sure it's BN by that point but I'll take any change
Yeah it's fun to watch the eps spreads go bonkers when there is any pattern instability in the long term. It was something absurd in Feb. I think 50° on highs at one point
NBAcentel
Member
GFS literally offers no relief until hour 384 lol
cd2play
Member
We hitch means no relief in sight.
Heavy breathing...0z HRRR for tomorrow night
Avalanche
Member
they drift a few miles west and die
Avalanche
Member
Snap back to reality, ope there goes gravity
Ope, there goes Rabbit, he choked
He's so mad, but he won't give up that easy? No…
End of that GFS run ???????
smast16
Member
BHS1975
Member
Not entirely surprising there isn't much forcing out there
Ward Cleaver
Member
This is the most boring stretch of weather I can remember. GFS shows a glimmer of hope in breaking the monotony at the very end of the month.
NBAcentel
Member
No wonder the GFS isn’t really showing much of a big cooldown the last few runs, the trend with ridging out west in between 2 troughs which would help kick the ULL east is trending weaker, which means not much of a boot and the front not moving through, basically the pacific is trending to crap 
CMC finally taking back crazy uncle status