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Misc Stock Market

Imagine gambling money in stocks and then complaining when the rich and their friends hose you.

Putting money in stocks hoping one day they will increase is a gamble. The rich tell you how and what to do, to "safely" invest to make cash off of you.

The entire market is overvalued, just to game & fool you.

Their ultimate goal is to slowly build you up into the green so you keep gambling more and more so they'll take a larger chunk when they leave you broke. Yes, even your stock broker/managers will hose you too.
 
Sold everything into SPY 530's yesterday..nothing more than a bear market rally. Just terrible price action.

I can't imagine I will do anything today.

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Been a slow bleed on SPY...want to see SPY move back over $530. It hit $526 and that 524-526 needs to hold. I probably should have added some there but just going to watch.

And as you can see its already retraced into the first 8-10 mins of the violent move, very thin below that. People will not want to give away those gains.

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SPY back to $526, rejected $530 again...really feels like we are going to get a quick drop hard down like we've seen so many times the past few weeks. SPY down over 3% and Qs almost 4% down. Anyone that chased this after 3pm is red and anyone that bought the open is down big.

It could take weeks before we see SPY trade outside yesterdays candle range.

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Grotesque market and I really shouldn't even be watching it...still have done nothing.

If 520 gives it's going to get really ugly...though it's down $25 from last night.

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GaWx said:
What did day 6, which would correspond to tomorrow, do for the two remaining cases (excluding the current one)? These are the only two cases other than the current one that had an 8%+ drop for days 1-2 combined, further drops days 3 and 4, and a gain on day 5:

-9/18-22/1931 Fri-Wed (days 1-5): day 6 (9/23 Thu) had a 7.1% drop to new low!

-7/19-24/1933 Wed-Mon (days 1-5): day 6 (7/25 Tue) had a 1.5% drop; but days 7-8 rose a combined 3.4% to a short term high

Regardless, there being only two cases and both from way back during the Great Depression means virtually no statistical credibility, of course, and the outcome will be largely influenced by what Trump says/does tomorrow as we know.
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Bump. So far, today (day 6 of the progression) is somewhat following the 9/23/1931 analog, for which the Dow fell 7.1% to new lows.
 
NQ missed a halt by mere pennies. SPX futs missed it by 0.6%.

That's why we saw a huge bounce there. Still not doing anything...buying limit down is not my idea of a bullish sequence.

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NQ was down 8% from yesterday highs and now bounced 3%...I am not getting involved in this today. Last time market had limit down was in March 2020 and that wasn't the bottom.

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Didn't do anything all day but SPY about to round trip from $535 to $509 and now probably closes at yesterdays highs. I am so done with this market. We went from almost limit down to ripping back to highs.

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Disaster…these federal layoffs and govt spending cuts was the match for a recession and we will end up having to buy our way out of it for much more than $150B. Just a total disaster. Plus the brand damage for Tesla from Elon. He lost probably lost $100B in net worth from this.

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KyloG said:
Disaster…these federal layoffs and govt spending cuts was the match for a recession and we will end up having to buy our way out of it for much more than $150B. Just a total disaster. Plus the brand damage for Tesla from Elon. He lost probably lost $100B in net worth from this.

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I was considering posting this, but later.

If I wasn't at work and on my phone, it'd be with the sips tea meme.

I'll hold back on real opinion on DOGE, but I will say if we get more than just crap growth for a year and get a recession, wooooof, man. The work for 150 billion will have been for nothing.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I was considering posting this, but later.

If I wasn't at work and on my phone, it'd be with the sips tea meme.

I'll hold back on real opinion on DOGE, but I will say if we get more than just crap growth for a year and get a recession, wooooof, man. The work for 150 billion will have been for nothing.
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I love Doge. The list's of all the waste , fraud that's been perpetrated on us all, from all of them up in DC ( R & D). For Decades as well I might add.

Now what we do about the crisis that's been Identified in Black and White, will be where the rubber meets the road. All Out Theft of the American Taxpayer. The whole Ponzi scheme is getting turned upside down and Its a beautiful sight to see imo.
 
NCSNOW said:
I love Doge. The list's of all the waste , fraud that's been perpetrated on us all, from all of them up in DC ( R & D). For Decades as well I might add.

Now what we do about the crisis that's been Identified in Black and White, will be where the rubber meets the road. All Out Theft of the American Taxpayer. The whole Ponzi scheme is getting turned upside down and Its a beautiful sight to see imo.
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I hate DOGE and Trump and Musk. They're stupid. I wish they would leave all the fraud and waste alone. And quit messing with other countries and trade. Let them keep taking advantage of us. And let's have some more wars too. The status quo is the best!
 
Fraud - “ criminal deception intended to result in financial or personal gain.”. Interesting the use of that word, we sure hear it a lot. I wonder why.
 
Interesting video of what is going on in China as of the tariffs implementation. Not sure if this is accurate or not but it's interesting.

 
This market is so manic right now...I didn't do anything yesterday and I probably won't today. Some of these are just insane...it's a total casino right now. The more I look at this I just can't believe this is what our market has become.

Last Thursday-Friday - down 18%
Monday - up 12%
Tuesday - down 9%
Wednesday - up 16%
Thursday - down 7%

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I NEVER would have thought you'd see this move by rates on outright deflationary data, and the reality is, it'll likely continue as long as the dollar keeps plunging.

90 DXY may help a ton with trying to aggressively reshore down the road, but it'll also likely mean a return to a 15 PE being average for the S&P.

Idk, it might be for the better because 4 bear markets by the Q's in 8 years is silly, but I will say in this age, it won't be tolerated well.
 
Bond market is so messed up...so bad...yields putting in huge weekly engulfing candles. No clue how this market isn't down 4-5% today. I guess people are hoping Trump tweets out a pause with China....he already buckled on Wednesday when the bond market was going nuts.

I have no fomo here...although I admit what happened Wednesday is still in the back of my mind when market ripped 10-12% in a couple of hours. But, I am going to try and not watch the market today. Did nothing yesterday...being on the sidelines makes a lot of sense.

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Qs has traded sideways in this channel for 24 hours...hasn't been a lot of consolidating the past couple weeks. Just fast/big moves...weird

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What was the point of all the posturing the past couple of weeks that triggered the market to crater...had multiple near misses of limit down last week. If I didn't know any better...it's almost like they...

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This is usually muted to direction of futures open Sunday night. Probably 1-1.5% open for NQ as of now.

Tariff mess should wind down, he completely caved…or it was a genius plan.

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Looking at a 3-4% gap up into Monday. Tech was ran over for weeks now even into the tariff stupidity.

We are still headed for a recession.

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