Severe Spring Severe Weather Thread 2017

[malak05]

NGA looks to be under the gun for severe tomorrow afternoon/ night

It's interesting setup for Severe weather for NGA sorta moving SE instead of what one would be more familiar with a NE storm track from the West, but SCape is definitely high for N. Georgia/Tennessee parts.

If shear was better in the area this most likely would've ramped very strongly..but doesn't look like much shear currently

 

[Storm5]

SPC day 2

I was at a friends house over by North Hills watching the games and the hail covered the ground there. Crazy stuff, tried to go live in the southernwx facebook and failed miserably

Alcohol makes hitting that go live button a little hard

 

[malak05]

Looks like the bumped up the threat for tomorrow
4k NAM looks a oriented differently on 18z compared to 12z run as far as storms at 23z?

 

[ForsythSnow]

 

[Storm5]

Looks like the bumped up the threat for tomorrow
4k NAM looks a oriented differently on 18z compared to 12z run as far as storms at 23z?

Models keep shifting a little south with each run . That 4K run just takes it to another level with the shift


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SD]

SPC day 2


Alcohol makes hitting that go live button a little hard

It prevents kidney stones too

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk

 

[pcbjr]

It prevents kidney stones too

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk

... and so much more (if you stay off the road!)

 

[CoreyTheSecond]

This is looking like more of a threat than previously thought for north Ga.

 

[Storm5]

It prevents kidney stones too

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk

Damn....


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[malak05]

NAM continues to show stronger storm signals for upper area of Georgia tomorrow, it's intensified each run and ticked further south on 4k and 3k runs, be interesting to see next couple of runs and HRRR

 

[stormcentral]

Severe threat increases for tennessee valley. Storms move through SE TN 7PM-4AM.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Not SE, but this is interesting to see. Despite the severe weather risk, we seem to have per SPC less of a tornado potential, none at all, than California. I rarely see any tornado risk out there.

Back to the SE, the HRRR is showing 2300+ SB CAPE in North Georgia later this afternoon and evening. There could be some nasty cells developing.

 

[Storm5]

Man the pattern is extremely active over the next few weeks


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[GaStorm]

Not SE, but this is interesting to see. Despite the severe weather risk, we seem to have per SPC less of a tornado potential, none at all, than California. I rarely see any tornado risk out there.

Back to the SE, the HRRR is showing 2300+ SB CAPE in North Georgia later this afternoon and evening. There could be some nasty cells developing.

I don't think I have ever seen an enhanced risk of storms here with no threat of tornadoes.

 

[SD]

looking good for a MCS to roll through ENH area today

 

[Cardall07]

What is an MCS?

 

[RollTide18]

I don't think I have ever seen an enhanced risk of storms here with no threat of tornadoes.

They happen in the summertime with the MCS rolling through

 

[Storm5]

We now have thread for today's threat http://southernwx.com/community/threads/severe-threat-march-21st.152/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[ForsythSnow]

What is an MCS?

It's a Mesoscale convective system. They are large severe weather systems that travel long distances and typically have lots of strong winds and hail in a medium area.

 

[Cardall07]

It's a Mesoscale convective system. They are large severe weather systems that travel long distances and typically have lots of strong winds and hail in a medium area.

Thanks! I'm in the enhanced risk area, so I wanted to know what that was!