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Severe Spring Severe Weather Thread 2017

Does anyone believe the Friday/Saturday outlooks will be expanded further North and East with time?
 
Yeah just reviewing the GFS looks like after today we have about 3 potential storms to track of a 10-11 day window, who knows if each of them actually hang around to bring severe weather to the South? But welcome to Spring and a active period to start
 
The one around next Monday has my eye. Wind fields are weak at this point, but that could end up a very nasty setup at quick glance.

There are actually two threats next week that could get out of hand. But your right about the first one . At least the pattern is active


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Not trying to look too far ahead but the pattern continues to look very active over the next ten days. Gonna have to watch all the systems as they roll through


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Models have really backed off for the Saturday threat the further east you east . Texas , Oaklahoma and Arkansas looked flavored for the first system . I for sure wouldn't say the severe threat is zero the further east you go but it's no doubt backed off


Also need to watch the system Monday into Tuesday . That one looks to have a little better wind profiles
 
Models have really backed off for the Saturday threat the further east you east . Texas , Oaklahoma and Arkansas looked flavored for the first system . I for sure wouldn't say the severe threat is zero the further east you go but it's no doubt backed off


Also need to watch the system Monday into Tuesday . That one looks to have a little better wind profiles
Do you proof read your posts?
 
Apparently severe is the flavor of the season

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I think the model that was said " couldn't predict a sunrise " did fairly well with the placement of the MCS yesterday!!? And it showed the pop up storms around GSP and CLT yesterday evening, hours ahead of the MCS!
 
I think the model that was said " couldn't predict a sunrise " did fairly well with the placement of the MCS yesterday!!? And it showed the pop up storms around GSP and CLT yesterday evening, hours ahead of the MCS!


I said I wouldn't trust it to predict the sunrise. Trust me I've been burned by all versions of the NAM too many times exp the high RES versions.
 
Looks like the farther west you go the more likely the severe weather will be over the next few rounds. Farther east its a diminishing line of storms with meager rain totals
 
Looks like the farther west you go the more likely the severe weather will be over the next few rounds. Farther east its a diminishing line of storms with meager rain totals

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Looks like the farther west you go the more likely the severe weather will be over the next few rounds. Farther east its a diminishing line of storms with meager rain totals
These meager rain totals will be problematic as the drought continues to slowly expand....
 
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