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September Sizzling Summer Segway

Yesterday, RAH had rain here in the forecast all day today and most of tomorrow. Now they have rain here tonight and decreasing clouds tomorrow. The sun is out now. ?‍♂️
 
EmersonGA said:
Picked up 1.01" last night which was mostly from the one big storm. Lots of lightning and maybe a little hail but I was too lazy to get up. The Tempest said "Extreme Rain" which was the first time I saw that since I got it. Currently 57 with a good breeze.
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I always like it when that thing says Extreme Rain. Last time I saw that reading, this is what I saw when I looked outside:

20200831_191034.jpg

Excuse the sideways view.
 
We would get a snowcane if that happens. lol
accu35 said:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_64.png
What if these 2 collided
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I'm interested to see what happens early on as things get popping off to the west. There is at least a chance of a couple of cells to try to get some supercell characteristics before things try to congeal a little more moving east
 
SD said:
I'm interested to see what happens early on as things get popping off to the west. There is at least a chance of a couple of cells to try to get some supercell characteristics before things try to congeal a little more moving east
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Rah tends to agree

...although the breaks in the overcast across the Piedmont and an indication of backing surface winds suggests the threat of stronger storms may be increasing slightly.
 
I think they upgrade imo to slight per the latest CAMs, all of them show a line of strong storms with kinks/breaks in them
 
metwannabe said:
Rah tends to agree

...although the breaks in the overcast across the Piedmont and an indication of backing surface winds suggests the threat of stronger storms may be increasing slightly.
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I'm still up in the air for our area. I feel like this will line out to the west and throw an outflow out ahead and the corridor between US1 and I95 might be kinda meh before it gets reinvigorated closer to the coast in the better instability. If it doesn't and we start getting segments and bows then the game changes quickly as we could get a few big wind gusts and some supercell structures to the tail end cells
 
Still Marginal and they took away the 2% tor area for most of NC. I can't say I'm surprised. The nam 3km looked like trash and the HRRR didn't look much better, at least to my untrained eye.
 
Sun coming out western Yadkin near i77 ahead of the line. Seems the line is strengthening and slowing during peak heating of the day...could see a severe storm for Yadkin/Forsyth/Davie
 
mbway091 said:
Still Marginal and they took away the 2% tor area for most of NC. I can't say I'm surprised. The nam 3km looked like trash and the HRRR didn't look much better, at least to my untrained eye.
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Both models still send a broken squall line through the area with an inch or two of rain. I imagine there will be a severe report or two, but there likely won't be much in the way of organized severe weather.
 
55 western Wilkes and 75 eastern Wilkes. Storm in middle. Upper 40s black Mtn.
 
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