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Pattern September 2023 Discussion Thread

Happy to see temps tempering back closer to average but as a whole the days 2-7 period is underwhelming as far as cool air east of the apps. Any front passage is quickly replaced by return flow so our cool days are likely due to clouds and rain chances not true dry/cool air. As we get out to D7 and beyond we might have a better chance to drive cool and dry deeper in the region but for the most part these day 7+ troughs on the models have flattened in time or been weak with cool weather
 
Happy to see temps tempering back closer to average but as a whole the days 2-7 period is underwhelming as far as cool air east of the apps. Any front passage is quickly replaced by return flow so our cool days are likely due to clouds and rain chances not true dry/cool air. As we get out to D7 and beyond we might have a better chance to drive cool and dry deeper in the region but for the most part these day 7+ troughs on the models have flattened in time or been weak with cool weather
By looking at the forecast lows, I can tell that dewpoints will still be higher than I would like. This cooldown is not going to be bringing any of those cool, crisp autumn days when temperatures get into the upper forties and lower fifties at night. It is welcome relief however from highs in the upper nineties and surpassing 100 as the temperature did yesterday.
 
By looking at the forecast lows, I can tell that dewpoints will still be higher than I would like. This cooldown is not going to be bringing any of those cool, crisp autumn days when temperatures get into the upper forties and lower fifties at night. It is welcome relief however from highs in the upper nineties and surpassing 100 as the temperature did yesterday.
In fairness it’s still a tad early for that nice crisp air to be regular. I know my average temperatures are still 86/64. Like you said though it will be nice to see 90s go away for awhile
 
In fairness it’s still a tad early for that nice crisp air to be regular. I know my average temperatures are still 86/64. Like you said though it will be nice to see 90s go away for awhile
Yeah but it's not unheard of to get the first crisp airmass in Mid September, although it's usually in Late September i believe.
 
One buck again at RDU
As I have said before and will say again, I am skeptical about some of the readings that come from the RDU airport station these days. Living here my entire life, Fayetteville and Charlotte almost always were warmer than Raleigh with their temperature readings. It's been strange seeing Raleigh's temperatures being anywhere from two to five degrees warmer than these cities on average the past couple of years. I know the developers and builders have taken away a lot of the trees from the Triangle area and replaced them with concrete and asphalt but that shouldn't have affected temperatures that much. The same story when it comes to development is happening in Charlotte.
 
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RDU once again hitting 100 and my room hitting 81 (with the AC running)

Yeah it's jacked.

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Happy to see temps tempering back closer to average but as a whole the days 2-7 period is underwhelming as far as cool air east of the apps. Any front passage is quickly replaced by return flow so our cool days are likely due to clouds and rain chances not true dry/cool air. As we get out to D7 and beyond we might have a better chance to drive cool and dry deeper in the region but for the most part these day 7+ troughs on the models have flattened in time or been weak with cool weather
Better hope the next trough forecasted to show up in 7 days isnt a MIA.
 
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