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Pattern Scorchtember

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Boiling Springs SC
"Like" for the update, Larry, not so much for the actual news. So, been thinkin' (bad omen to start a post with .. me thinking), but things are so topsy-turvey, instead of a solar minimum or a sleepy sun, maybe we need a raging set of sunspots ... something's gotta change and conventional wisdom on models, climo, MJO, acorns and any and everything else one can think of is all upside down ... so, here's to thinking way outside the box and hoping ... for Judah's snow pack to collapse and the MJO to go into permanent stall and a + PNA all winter and ... well, something's gotta work ... maybe upside down will?
Divine intervention maybe?
 

JHS

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Nothing within 30 miles and willing to bet we do not get any rain here until Thanksgiving. This dry pattern is locked in tight.
 

SD

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I wonder if this stuff to the south can make it too


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Joined
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GA
Small shower here with a bit of lightning. I doubt we got enough rain to settle the dust. Maybe tomorrow....

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SouthATLwx

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Yet another record shattered at ATL, with a high of 97*F (previous record was 93*F in 1954).

High was 98*F here.

This was all despite increased cloud cover today.
 

EmersonGA

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.1” of rain last night!!! I think that makes .21” in the last 6 weeks.
 

SouthATLwx

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Two positives with that, it can't get as warm, and it will add a slight chance of rain.
Wanna bet?

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FFC&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

"163
FXUS62 KFFC 281140 AAA
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
427 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2019

Unfortunately, even with clouds, scattered storms and outflow, will
see record temperatures again
as convection fires around peak
heating. Middle GA likely to go near or over 100F in spite of
guidance continuing with cooler temps. Have bumped daytime temps up
around 3-4 degs today and Sunday, based on 3-day forecast biases.

With dewpoints also a little higher than yesterday, heat indices
will be approaching advisory criteria.
Exceeded criteria yesterday
at a few USFS RAWS stations in middle GA. Will need to monitor these
trends closely."
 

SouthATLwx

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Models are pretty consistent on developing convection overhead this afternoon (latest HRRR and NAM run being the most bullish yet)

We'll see.
 

SouthATLwx

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As typical with my luck, this is happening just a few miles to my east (the storm is stationary).

Not a drop of rain here. Why couldn't my earlier downpour blow up like that? :(

1569709520396.png
 
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