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Presidential Election 2024

None of us have ever resorted to nake calling or any other disruptive behavior. Asking people to explain how trumps tariffs will help instead of hurt isn't infighting, anger or division.....it's asking a question
Good faith then? I answered your question and you ignored mine, which was just as relevant.

You want to turn Shaggy invisible? Just ask him a non-abortion policy question.
 
Nate Silver says something is odd with the polling. I think it will be over rather early on Tuesday one way or the other.





Just anecdotal but Mark Halperin says Harris is in trouble in WI



A previous post of mine alluded to both of these scenarios before the Twitter storm.

Again.

Public polls are different and they much closer than internal polls. I believe silver's thoughts about them being suspiciously close for so long. It feels like a narrative.

Bro. Virginia is within 0.5 freaking points. Trump added NM and VA to his event spots for a reason.

And I am still flabbergasted that freaking Minnesota is within Trump's grasp. It's wild to me.
 
One final note about these polling numbers.

This election comes down to three core issues. The economy, abortion, and the border.

Trump is strong in 2/3 of these areas.

There are two unforseen problems that Trump needs to address quickly.

He is having problems in Nevada because of the unions. Not problems like he is going to lose, but problems making it closer than it needs to be.

He has a problem with older voters. Sounds crazy right? Youd assume the seniors are all trump right? The mainstream media says so. No.

He's having issues because in the actual close states, Harris is hammering home a message that he's coming after social security benefits. They are being swayed by it too. He has to speak about it or he's in for a surprise.

The internal idea is he is doing well, but there are strategy issues that he is going to wish he did differently. Kellyanne Conway helped lead him to a win in 2016 and it's someone else running the show this time. I can guarantee you that she sees holes in this campaign mentioned above.

If trump is going to win, he has to offset women voting on one issue and that's abortion. If election day turnout with African Americans and men does not supersede the single issue woman vote, yes, it will swing into Harris's favor.

When all is said and done, Trump must have a large showing on election day and IF that happens, he will win bigly. Bigger than 2016.

People won't admit to you that Trump has a chance of winning not only the electoral college, but the popular vote this time around too.

It's up to the voters on election day. Are they all voting early? We actually don't know. Supposedly trump has around a 20 point advantage on men who say they are voting on election day.

And one more note. The whole country is completely divided regardless of the outcome. There will likely be big civil problems. I suggest everyone not react to either side and their pandering over the next few weeks. Sit back and move in silence. Things are going to get rough.

You can feel a tension just out and about that doesn't feel good. There is no joy as one would say. There is no voter enthusiasm as another would say. It feels like people are getting to a point where it's either "this or that and no in between" and it's becoming dangerous.

I think we are going to see the repercussion of what an echo chamber can cause. Both sides as of now, are in their own world and can't see the other party winning. The left is most guilty of creating these echo chambers online. Just check out the echo chamber reddit has become for example. It's not good.
 
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A previous post of mine alluded to both of these scenarios before the Twitter storm.

Again.

Public polls are different and they much closer than internal polls. I believe silver's thoughts about them being suspiciously close for so long. It feels like a narrative.

Bro. Virginia is within 0.5 freaking points. Trump added NM and VA to his event spots for a reason.

And I am still flabbergasted that freaking Minnesota is within Trump's grasp. It's wild to me.

If I am a democrat, I’m definitely worried about the drop around the country in registered democrats voting early. While certainly they may all turn out on Election Day, but it makes me think that the “stick it to the orange man” sentiment isn’t there this year. If that is true, that will be a huge boost for Trump.
 
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