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Possible Severe Weather April 22nd-23rd

NoSnowATL said:
My mother in law in Shelby said they lost power this morning due to weather. The atmosphere in the HAM is healing fast.
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Very fast. Im currently in bessemer on job. And its very windy and muggy. Got a few hours till im off so im hoping i get to go home before stuff starts happening if it does
 
NoSnowATL said:
My mother in law in Shelby said they lost power this morning due to weather. The atmosphere in the HAM is healing fast.
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I'm in montevallo and it's just as sunny and muggy here as well. Got a feeling this environment may recover way quick

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Got elevated storms in northwest. Southeast of that im guessing theres better potential if storms dont fire until atleast 1-3 Screenshot_20200423-111456_RadarScope.jpg
 
Good loop. Of the clouds clearing. Is bham nws going to realese a weather balloon soon to see what the atmosphere looks like?
 
I have the utmost respect for the good people at the SPC, but you do have to wonder if yesterday's huge enhanced expansion was a hiccup in their modeling or a mistake by a forecaster. After all, we are only human. Anyway rain has ended here and skies are thinning a bit, no sun though.
 
ryan1234 said:
I have the utmost respect for the good people at the SPC, but you do have to wonder if yesterday's huge enhanced expansion was a hiccup in their modeling or a mistake by a forecaster. After all, we are only human. Anyway rain has ended here and skies are thinning a bit, no sun though.
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Gotta chalk it up to uncertainty.

They have already cut back the risk area for a second time today. Now it's just a tiny portion of southern GA under a 10% hatched area.
 
mbway091 said:
Gotta chalk it up to uncertainty.

They have already cut back the risk area for a second time today. Now it's just a tiny portion of southern GA under a 10% hatched area.
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That's a LOT of uncertainty. I don't think I have ever seen anything like that occur. Although I am sure it has, I just haven't seen it.

Yeah, they really cut back today. Let's hope that it doesn't bust again today. Because if can bust once, it can bust again. As in, we do get storms fire later as we get some sunshine from the west...
 
ryan1234 said:
That's a LOT of uncertainty. I don't think I have ever seen anything like that occur. Although I am sure it has, I just haven't seen it.

Yeah, they really cut back today. Let's hope that it doesn't bust again today. Because if can bust once, it can bust again. As in, we do get storms fire later as we get some sunshine from the west...
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Honestly I'm not sure if we're going to get any sunshine at all. In fact, it looks like it's about to start raining here in GSO again. Cloudy and scattered showers until late this evening and then some (very) isolated thunderstorms would be my guess.
 
Hrrr looks a little ominous. I wouldn't be surprised to see spann in his suspenders by this afternoon. Screenshot_20200423-115717_Samsung Internet.jpgScreenshot_20200423-115740_Samsung Internet.jpg
 
No that couplet has been cycling up and down and looks nasty. From what the warning said there is a confirmed tornado with it. BTW, I think the HRRR is still really struggling with everything going on. Radar presentation and actual something seems a miss.
 
What would be causing the extremely high reflectivity on that bow echo? Would that be hail?
 
Just had another quick bout of rain and pea sized hail that lasted for about 20 minutes. It looks like convection is trying to redevelop on the back edge, as the cold front has yet to clear my area.
 
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I really should probably stop trying to guess, because its still lightly raining here even though the MCS didn't look impressive.

I'm actually likely going to need to switch to sweats for my outside time today.
 
Starting to see some clearing here, even had a peak of sun a second ago. I doubt it makes any difference down the road, though. Unless that warm front pulls something sneaky.
 
My goodness that South Georgia supercell... that's how many long track supercells we've seen within 100 miles of the Gulf in the last 2 weeks? Hope everyone down in the vicinity of Waycross is OK.
 
ryan1234 said:
Starting to see some clearing here, even had a peak of sun a second ago. I doubt it makes any difference down the road, though. Unless that warm front pulls something sneaky.
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Don't want to clog up the thread with too many boring observations, but here in northern Guilford county it's been raining for over an hour and it's still only 55 degrees. I knew it probably wouldn't get too warm today, but I did expect us to hit 60 at least.
 
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