Parker
Member
IF IM SEEING THIS CORRECTLY IT LOOKS LIKE THE LINE IS MORE CELLULAR IN NATURE VS A QLCS
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Yeah, critical angles under 45 to which is pretty unimpressive for this event, also like you said lots of unidirectional flow, and Flow between 2km-8km is nearly parallel to the boundary, so that keeps things more linear, but these soundings out of south AL do grab your attention with 3CAPE and decent low level LRsInteresting enough, the HRRR is by far showing the most instability, although it still is plagued by low lapse rates and low 3km Cape except in southern AL. However it adds another kink to the forecast problem, unidirectional winds from 900mb to 500mb which really hurts directional shear. Still has plenty of helicity for some tornadoes though due to the increase in wind speed with height. UH wise it's pretty much with the other CAMs showing spin ups in the QLCS.
IM AT WORK AT 9-1-1 UNTIL 0630 SO ILL BE WIDE AWAKEWho else is waking up bright and early to see how the weather is coming into mississippi then alabama?
MEAnyone on here waiting on the day one outlook at midnight and do you think there will be any changes ?
Yeah, critical angles under 45 to which is pretty unimpressive for this event, also like you said lots of unidirectional flow, and Flow between 2km-8km is nearly parallel to the boundary, so that keeps things more linear, but these soundings out of south AL do grab your attention with 3CAPE and decent low level LRs View attachment 30210View attachment 30211
Downgrades all around it's a b u s t
MIGHT BE A BUST FOR YOUR LOCATION BUT IF JUST ONE PERSON EXPERIENCES A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT THEN ITS NOT A BUST. ILL NEVER CALL A BUST UNTIL THE EVENT IS COMPLETELY OVER.Downgrades all around it's a b u s t
I'm just saying they went too heavy on the enhanced risk with hatched area and severe probabilities to start with only to major downgrade now wayy before the storms but I guess things change fastMIGHT BE A BUST FOR YOUR LOCATION BUT IF JUST ONE PERSON EXPERIENCES A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT THEN ITS NOT A BUST. ILL NEVER CALL A BUST UNTIL THE EVENT IS COMPLETELY OVER.
Yeah major downgrades when we were waiting on the outlook patiently everyone is shocked